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jmg257

(11,996 posts)
25. "screen shots of exit polls publicized as soon as possible immediately after the closing of state
Tue Jan 17, 2017, 04:19 PM
Jan 2017

election polls"??

i would love for someone to write something DEFINITIVE on this exit poll stuff...too many theories not enough facts.

Anyway...

" Edison Media Research has conducted all of the exit polls for the major US media organizations since 2003"

" When the polls close, pollsters don’t adjust the data to “match the official results.” They use the official results from the relatively small number of polling places where they conducted interviews to refine their sample. For example, if their model assumed that 30 percent of voters at a polling place would be black, and that number actually turns out to be 20 percent, or 40 percent, then they’ll weight the data accordingly. During this period, they’re also entering any surveys that were sent in late (again, this is all based on incomplete data).

These adjustments, and the inclusion of those late surveys, can account for significant shifts between the preliminary numbers posted when the polls close and the release of the final exit polls an hour or so later. But the important point here is that the final results are more accurate, not less so.

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I don't think Trump will be impeached. 50 Shades Of Blue Jan 2017 #1
Well, I am certain he will be... ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #3
Actually, no. ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #13
They are stuck with him. If they impeach him, they outrage their base. 50 Shades Of Blue Jan 2017 #14
Their base is too small... ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #15
They won't impeach him. Their base got Trump elected in the first place. 50 Shades Of Blue Jan 2017 #16
They'll have to impeach him... ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #17
Thanks! Well - I can't say I hope you're right because I think Pence would be every bit as bad 50 Shades Of Blue Jan 2017 #18
Pence may will be every bit as bad - but not every bit as MAD! ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #19
I dunno... he's a bible prophecy/Christian supremacist ideologue. 50 Shades Of Blue Jan 2017 #22
The only way to eliminate electronic machines would be state law Chasstev365 Jan 2017 #2
Yes. ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #4
No. Federal law would preempt the state laws. ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #20
Here we go again-- IT'S NOT VULNERABLE! Some systems are insecure, but hardly any... TreasonousBastard Jan 2017 #5
MANY disagree with you... ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #6
From your link... TreasonousBastard Jan 2017 #10
And from THIS link - Comey lied ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #11
By what fantasy do you see electronic voting being abolished? EL34x4 Jan 2017 #7
So the Russians were hacking into ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #8
Throwing in the word "conspiracy" ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #9
Exit poll data. ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #12
You should have stopped reading at the words unadjusted exit poll data mythology Jan 2017 #21
Actually, it wasn't only the Edison Media Research exit polls that had Trump losing the swing states ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #23
"screen shots of exit polls publicized as soon as possible immediately after the closing of state jmg257 Jan 2017 #25
Kicked. MaeScott Jan 2017 #24
I think Trump's campaign having communication with Russia might mean no Pence either NoGoodNamesLeft Jan 2017 #26
Yeah, could well be. ElementaryPenguin Jan 2017 #27
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