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progree

(12,706 posts)
6. From the source:
Thu Dec 18, 2025, 09:40 AM
Thursday

This is just the first few paragraphs, I may find some more interesting info as I read further. I split some paragraphs to make it easier to read, and I underlined a few items of higher interest to make them more findable. The bolding is mine too
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis over the 2 months from September 2025 to November 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.7 percent before seasonal adjustment. BLS did not collect survey data for October 2025 due to a lapse in appropriations. ((The CPI includes food and energy, it's the CORE CPI that excludes these items -progree))

The seasonally adjusted index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent over the 2 months ending in November. ((this is the so-called CORE CPI -progree))

From September to November, the index for shelter increased 0.2 percent. The energy index rose 1.1 percent over the same 2-month period and the food index increased 0.1 percent. Other indexes which increased over the 2 months ending in November include household furnishings and operations, communication, and personal care. In contrast, the indexes for lodging away from home, recreation, and apparel decreased over the same 2-month period.

The all items index rose 2.7 percent for the 12 months ending November, after rising 3.0 percent over the 12 months ending September.

The all items less food and energy index rose 2.6 percent over the last 12 months ((it was 3.0% in the 12 months to September, per the September report --progree)) . The energy index increased 4.2 percent for the 12 months ending November. The food index increased 2.6 percent over the last year.


Look at the tables -- it's a mess I haven't untangled yet (and probably won't)

This is an interesting paragraph from the OP's linked article (emphasis mine):

Because the October CPI was cancelled, Thursday’s report did not have all the usual data points of a typical CPI release. The BLS said it was unable to retroactively collect the October data, but did use some “nonsurvey data sources” to make the index calculations. ((Presumably this didn't affect the November index values, nor the September index values, in which case I don't particularly care -progree))


=====================================================

Here are the data series:
SA=Seasonally adjusted, NSA = NOT Seasonally adjusted

CPI (SA): https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0

Core CPI (SA): http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0L1E

CPI (NSA): https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SA0

CORE CPI (NSA): https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SA0L1E

Recommendations

2 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

... UpInArms Thursday #1
Hmm, both indexes gab13by13 Thursday #2
Did they leave out food and utilities? quaint Thursday #3
They leave out food and energy in those numbers I believe. The numbers may have also been affected by late lostincalifornia Thursday #5
No, they are included in the "all items" CPI. It's the CORE CPI that leaves out food and energy. progree Thursday #7
Thanks, got it. lostincalifornia Thursday #9
Yes, on the holiday stuff -- it's weird as heck progree Thursday #11
Declining demand due to economy is driving some prices down lostnfound Friday #18
Regardless what the numbers say, the reality is that a hell of a lot of people have been laid off, and while fuel prices lostincalifornia Thursday #4
Food and energy are included in the numbers, except where it says "all items less food and energy" progree Thursday #8
I think that is affected by the uncertainty of the Ukraine/Russia situation, and I think colder weather may have come lostincalifornia Thursday #10
From the source: progree Thursday #6
I call BS on any number coming from this administration gilpo Thursday #12
So "things" that were a dollar a year ago aren't even $1.03 now? What are these "things"? twodogsbarking Thursday #13
This is already being panned by economists PSPS Thursday #14
So this graph shows that Krasnov lied. He said he would bring prices down. GoodRaisin Thursday #15
The BLS is a good source somsai Thursday #16
That's odd. The shelter index increased 0.2% during the 2 month Sept-Nov period, and 3.0% year-over-year progree Thursday #17
Per Pew Research, here is graphic of basket content weights lostnfound Friday #19
"Fuel is fairly flat YOY" - I don't understand this comment progree Friday #20
Sorry, the yoy fuel data was from a different source lostnfound Yesterday #23
Cool graph and table, bookmarked, thanks/nt progree Yesterday #24
GRAPH - rolling 3 month average of CPI, progree Friday #21
This message was self-deleted by its author Rebl2 Friday #22
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