2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Bernie Sanders’ Problems With Black Voters Go Much Deeper Than Him Just Blaming The Media (WaPo) [View all]CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)Sanders began this campaign as the underdog. At the onset, he was trailing Clinton by 40 points in some polls.
It's important to remember that he's always been behind in the polls--with just about everyone.
However, a shift has happened--especially in the states in which Bernie is actively campaigning. His polls have skyrocketed. He's gained 30 points in Iowa and 20 points in New Hampshire and now he leads in both states, according to the latest polls.
But if you look at national polls--and individual state polls where the primaries aren't soon--you see Sanders behind. He's behind with EVERY demographic--just as he once was in Iowa and New Hampshire.
So---it is a massive manipulation to suggest that black voters do not like Sanders. It's using poll numbers to lie.
The truth is--black voters don't know Sanders yet. You could cherry pick the statistics and erroneously suggest, "Sanders is not doing well with those who live in South Dakota!" or "Most voters in the Mountain Time Zone aren't into Sanders!" or "Hispanic voters reject Sanders!"
The campaign has not yet come to these populations yet. But it will. The same thing happened in 2008. Hillary was ahead nationally, and in states that didn't have impending caucuses. These stats were used to bash Obama and suggest her inevitability. Eventually her leads in those states melted away--with Obama winning the majority of them.
So, African Americans have not yet rejected Bernie--They are similar to all populations that haven't experienced the full brunt of his campaign.
To make the claim that Sanders isn't doing well with African Americans is to make inferences behind the numbers--that are completely false. This is a meme being floated to pour cold water on the likely victories in Iowa and NH that Sanders will most likely pull off. The Clinton campaign has to rationalize Sander's latest surge in Iowa and NH and also stop his momentum coming out of these states, otherwise her campaign is complete toast. What better way to minimize a two-state win--by suggesting that black voters don't like Bernie, as he goes into South Carolina and then shortly after, Florida?