Drudge: Forwardlash - Gallup Swings Two Points in Obama's Favor Since Yesterday

[Drunken Irishman]

6. Obama is now ahead of Romney in their poll...

This is why I don't trust Gallup/Rasmussen. These wild shifts in support over only a few days proves how unreliable these tracking polls can be. Races don't swing that quickly unless there is dramatic development and while Obama's announcement in support of gay marriage could kind of sorta be considered that, this is something they've been doing all year. Romney will be up 7 and then, in three days, he's down 4. It doesn't work that way. Polls generally are stable or you start seeing a slow change - but nothing over a couple days period.

That's really the problem with these daily tracking polls. They're a snapshot at the moment - not a true representation of where the campaign is at. Other polls, that aren't on a rolling average, take that into account and you generally see a stable race.

Look at NBC News' polls:

4/13 - 4/17: Obama +6
2/29 - 3/3: Obama +6
1/22 - 1/24: Obama +6
12/7 - 12/11: Obama +2

Notice something? Pretty damn stable!