2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: I am so SICK AND FUCKING TIRED of everyone armchair quarterbacking Hillary!!!! [View all]TheBlackAdder
(28,941 posts).
Before the flamers hit, I am a staunch Democrat & voted and promoted for her election.
It completely overlooks the sentiment of many towards HRC, the resentment of the DNC and political institutions.
There were a multitude of factors that led to the stars aligning the way they did.
While Sanders attracted more Indys, Cross-over Republicans, Millennials, and true progressives, HRC was more centered on traditional Democratic base support. As public perception changed though the primary, when people actually saw that there might be a valid alternative, HRC selectively co-opted Sanders' positions only when they were politically expedient to win a state. One state she'd denounce his positions, because they were Dem strongholds, then she'd co-opt him in coal country or areas of extreme liberalism to neutralize any difference between the two. Then, she'd switch back. This behavior fed into the GOP narrative that she'd do anything to win. This is political reality, if one were to step out of the Democratic Party lens for a moment.
But, without me writing a 10 page dissertation, I'll summarize it in a short paragraph.
Ronald Reagan and GHW Bush really fucking hated each other, to the point where it created a schism in the party. Instead of remaining divisive, they came together to defeat Carter and win three presidential elections. Clinton chose to kick dirt in the Sanders' supporters eyes by selecting Kaine, not learning from political history. She took the gamble that voters would go binary and not vote for Trump, because he is, well... Trump. That act prevented her from having a 60-40 win, something that would have survived any Comey or other last minute trick, by jettisoning those Indys and disillusioned voters. The belief that women would side with her, when the past 45 years, since ERA, shows a solid 45% of women vote GOP--due mainly from evangelical/orthodox support for paternalism. This trend denial is an astonishing contortion of political historical fact. This was a tactical failure on HRC's part, as the collective nation gasped and then said, "Who the fuck is Tim Kaine?"
Her camp was advised of these dynamics, prior to the selection of Kaine, and a conscious decision was made.
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