2016 Postmortem

triron

(22,240 posts)

20. As I said before it is 24 out of 28 that gives a chance of

Tue Dec 20, 2016, 12:42 AM

Dec 2016

less than 1 in 13000 elections (52000 years). It is give mathematically by
the binomial coefficient (28!/24!*4!)divided by 2 to the 28th power for those that are curious.
Or if you restrict the problem to just 15 'swing' states (Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan,Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, virginia, and Wisconsin), Trump went 15 for 15! Chance of that is 1 in 2 to the 15th power or 8196 elections (once in ~33000 years). It is noteworthy that the sample sizes for the exit polls were about 4000 in both Florida and North Carolina. Yet the poll was off by about 4.5 points in NC and over 2.5 points in Florida. In Ohio and Maine the swing was over 8 points toward Trump (massive). In Missouri, over 10 points.

http://www.cpegonline.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/Unexplained-Patterns-in-2016-and-Earlier-U.S.-Elections.pdf

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treason. [View all] LaydeeBug Dec 2016 OP

But no one will call it treason. guillaumeb Dec 2016 #1

strongly worded letters. They will act as though vote certification outweighs the Will of the People LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #2

But to fight, or to question too much is to cast doubt guillaumeb Dec 2016 #3

That doesn't mean they didn't do it, 10,000 here...there... LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #5

Agreed. I believe that what Greg Palast has reported, guillaumeb Dec 2016 #6

Who admitted it? nt B2G Dec 2016 #4

Who now? jmg257 Dec 2016 #7

There is no one left but the People sarisataka Dec 2016 #8

That's funny you should ask...but in this nuclear age...a LOT. nt LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #9

You may be interested in my latest post here. triron Dec 2016 #10

link? I'd love to see it LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #11

knr triron Dec 2016 #12

Those who claim treason has been committed either don't know the history of onenote Dec 2016 #13

You are correct in that triron Dec 2016 #14

Treason doth never prosper DavidDvorkin Dec 2016 #15

The problem is, it does. LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #16

The rest of the quotation explains that it does. DavidDvorkin Dec 2016 #17

You are correct, LaydeeBug... ElementaryPenguin Dec 2016 #18

This is a very enlightening post. Thank you for it. nt LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #19

As I said before it is 24 out of 28 that gives a chance of triron Dec 2016 #20

Thanks, triron. nt ElementaryPenguin Dec 2016 #21

I made an arithmetic error. triron Dec 2016 #22

I wish you would get your numbers right. pangaia Jan 2017 #30

knr triron Dec 2016 #23

kick LaydeeBug Jan 2017 #24

kick again triron Jan 2017 #25

This message was self-deleted by its author Ilsa Jan 2017 #26

If they drag Trump out of the Whitehouse in shackles Trumpm and his supporters will doc03 Jan 2017 #27

It absolutely is. In every way. AgadorSparticus Jan 2017 #28

Yes, call it what it is onetexan Jan 2017 #29

You would not believe how many posters tried to tell me I was wrong... LaydeeBug Jan 2017 #31