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HassleCat

(6,409 posts)
117. Your map illustrates the southern primary strategy.
Sun Dec 18, 2016, 07:03 PM
Dec 2016

Look at the solid yellow region across the southeast. Our party is heavily black in those states, although black voters do not make up such a large fraction of overall voters. The result is primaries where black voters have a big influence on our party, and general elections where white voters dominate. This is significant in the southeast because blacks and whites don't like each other, meaning our southern strategy tends to favor candidates who will have trouble in the general election. We have to live with this because we are not willing to cozy up to southern white voters by ignoring concerns of black voters.

The big question comes when you look at that swath of Bernie primary wins across the north. Those states should have gone to Hillary, and several of them almost did. The fact they didn't suggests our appeal is narrowing, concentrating more on minority voters particularly black voters. This might be a result of racism, or white resentment, or white backlash, or something like that. It could also be attributed to our failure to remind white working class voters that we are doing positive things for them, that we represent their interests and concerns far better than the other party. If you want to blame it on Bernie, it's true he got those states whipped up about his economic justice ideas, only to leave them flat when he couldn't win the nomination.

Being Democrats, I suppose we will never figure out what happened, let alone what to do about it. It's easier and more fun to blame each other and debate which segment of the electorate we should write off. We do the circular firing squad thing so well.

Some serious BS with this line. NCTraveler Dec 2016 #1
And many more did not show up or went third party or to Trump. Those are just the facts. RBInMaine Dec 2016 #2
And many more voted for Clinton than Trump. Just the fact. George II Dec 2016 #10
Why? Because a Hillary nomination led to a Trump Presidency. virtualobserver Dec 2016 #54
This. nt redqueen Dec 2016 #77
THIS. is the bottom line. RazBerryBeret Dec 2016 #78
Sanders and his supporters carrying water for the Republicans led to a Trump Presidency LongtimeAZDem Dec 2016 #79
nonsense....you imagine Hillary as a fragile victim.... virtualobserver Dec 2016 #80
Not at all; Sanders supporters repeated Republican attacks as gospel, LongtimeAZDem Dec 2016 #82
I supported Sanders, and voted for Hillary in the GE. virtualobserver Dec 2016 #83
That's bullshit. The bernie or bust crew wasn't large enough to to that. The vast dionysus Dec 2016 #106
They Went 3rd Party or Not At All & We Lost otohara Dec 2016 #173
Can you prove any of that with data, and not some anecdote from JPR types? If you can actually prove dionysus Dec 2016 #176
Here otohara Dec 2016 #177
Hillary was fighting an anti-establishment head wind. Dustlawyer Dec 2016 #155
And clearly Bernie did not have a competent campaign as he couldn't even win the primary. n/t seaglass Dec 2016 #89
Bernie was a complete unknown, yet he did well...especially considering DWS's debate freeze out..... virtualobserver Dec 2016 #98
Why was he unknown if he was in Congress for 30 years and on talk radio for 10? seaglass Dec 2016 #99
He is well known now, and highly regarded, nationwide..... virtualobserver Dec 2016 #139
His 10 Years On Radio Was Effective In Demonizing Democrats otohara Dec 2016 #174
Unknown after 30 years in the Senate? sheshe2 Dec 2016 #129
He is not unknown any more....and is highly regarded...which says a lot more. virtualobserver Dec 2016 #140
Yes he is. sheshe2 Dec 2016 #143
So would a Bernie nomination jmowreader Dec 2016 #141
we know that Hillary lost.... virtualobserver Dec 2016 #161
Why? Kentonio Dec 2016 #168
4.3 million more votes in California, which we will see more of in the future, it wasn't nationally. braddy Dec 2016 #75
Re: 4.3 million more votes in California SFnomad Dec 2016 #154
If they were that fucking stupid Island Blue Dec 2016 #36
This was about issues DK504 Dec 2016 #132
So You Must Attend A Rally otohara Dec 2016 #172
They were *also* a LOT of alt-righters there that were NEVER voting for him in the general. LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #146
Post removed Post removed Dec 2016 #3
And some of her supporters dismissed the very idea of building enthusiasm. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #4
When has "enthusiasm" or lack thereof, ever been an issue in a Presidential election? George II Dec 2016 #13
Not an issue...a factor. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #14
I don't think "charisma" had much to do with some, if not all, of those elections. George II Dec 2016 #18
In 1976, the Democrats were going to take the White House no matter what. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #20
That is definitely not true oberliner Dec 2016 #26
Carter was thirty points ahead at one point in the summer. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #45
It was tied in October oberliner Dec 2016 #48
It was very close - Ford had bad gaffe too (saying Poland wasn't under Soviet influence) MrPurple Dec 2016 #102
I don't recall Nixon being known as the "moderate/liberal" in 1968, in fact he wasn't. braddy Dec 2016 #74
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rockefeller_Republican George II Dec 2016 #85
Nixon was not seen as the moderate/liberal candidate in 1968, and he was running against Rockefeller braddy Dec 2016 #86
What one is "seen as" and what one actually "was" are two totally different things. George II Dec 2016 #92
Nixon was not a liberal in 1968, and Rockefeller was running against him in 1968. braddy Dec 2016 #93
Compared to 1968 field, Nixon wasn't liberal. Compared to today's Rethugs, he is. MrPurple Dec 2016 #103
Very good post Ken lastone Dec 2016 #64
There's a problem with your theory mythology Dec 2016 #5
Didn't Gallup predict a Hillary win in the GE? Exilednight Dec 2016 #7
And didn't she win? yallerdawg Dec 2016 #27
Where will she be on inauguration day? Exilednight Dec 2016 #40
Gallup didnt poll the presidential race this cycle MadBadger Dec 2016 #104
Who said anything about polling? Exilednight Dec 2016 #111
No no no! We need more of the same! It's been working out so well! aidbo Dec 2016 #6
she still got more people to actually vote for her JI7 Dec 2016 #8
Sure. But considering who she was running against, it should have dionysus Dec 2016 #107
look at what congress is made up of JI7 Dec 2016 #110
Good points. Sadly, that means there's more racism and misogny out there dionysus Dec 2016 #112
It was by 3 mil votes, sheshe2 Dec 2016 #130
We both no, to gore's lament, that's not what we're talking about. dionysus Dec 2016 #138
She ran against trump, who had already defeated 16 other contenders, agains the KGB, against Comey, lunamagica Dec 2016 #160
Let's not grant trump any credit where credit is not due. And to suggest the voters were dionysus Dec 2016 #167
Yes, but by spending more time campaigning in Cali than Wisconsin, we got the Fuhrer-Elect. Not a good strategy going for the win in the popular vote. InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2016 #122
Why didn't that translate into votes? George II Dec 2016 #9
It translated into far more votes than anyone expected. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #16
55+% is much more. And that "superdelegate" excuse is just that, an excuse. How many of the..... George II Dec 2016 #19
Almost all of them. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #21
You're entitled to your opinion. But I doubt you can bolster that opinion with fact. George II Dec 2016 #22
It's a fact that Bernie did far better than anyone expected. Ken Burch Dec 2016 #23
I referring to your fact that "almost all" of the 30 million people who participated.... George II Dec 2016 #24
Yet Hillary only won what was it, 4 out of all of those yellow states in the general? Autumn Dec 2016 #63
Post removed Post removed Dec 2016 #91
the write in is still pretty much wanting or ok with Trump as president JI7 Dec 2016 #100
Yes, let's shrink the party... perhaps we can teot out another classic like dionysus Dec 2016 #108
Your map illustrates the southern primary strategy. HassleCat Dec 2016 #117
It shows the fact that Sanders may not be as progressive as some would like to think. George II Dec 2016 #118
Or perhaps more progressive. HassleCat Dec 2016 #119
The fundamental problem is that by and large forjusticethunders Dec 2016 #158
Exactly, George.. why didn't the "big stadiums" translate Cha Dec 2016 #33
80,000 who gave Trump the E.C can barely fill a stadium themselves.. JHan Dec 2016 #58
You're missing the point. The point is, if she excited people the way bernie did, or got dionysus Dec 2016 #109
Do you really think that the GOP... SaschaHM Dec 2016 #11
neither of them are gonna run again in 4 years, so I suggest looking forward. Warren DeMontague Dec 2016 #12
I like Gavin Newsom. Great pic. ms liberty Dec 2016 #162
Exactly. Because that's what leaders do. They lead. Warren DeMontague Dec 2016 #163
Comey, voter suppression And Russia... Empirical factors everything else is guessing uponit7771 Dec 2016 #15
Like the DU gunner in NC who claims that's what the voters were grumbling about Nov 8..eom Kolesar Dec 2016 #56
Bernie Sanders did absolutely nothing for me, my family, and friends...nt asuhornets Dec 2016 #17
Not in my town he didn't, but the press pretended he did. ucrdem Dec 2016 #25
That is magnanimous of you RBinMaine.. Thanks. CentralMass Dec 2016 #28
Small town America and the rural areas won't vote for us we need to get the Obama coalition and the coolbreeze77 Dec 2016 #29
Ugh... Staaaaaaaaahp! Just Staaaaahp! Squinch Dec 2016 #30
Exciting is horribly overrated. stopbush Dec 2016 #31
Please stop this already. n/t rzemanfl Dec 2016 #32
+1,000,000 AgadorSparticus Dec 2016 #37
Yes. tecelote Dec 2016 #51
Bernie "filled stadiums" with white people. That's not the Democratic party, and for that I'm..... Tarheel_Dem Dec 2016 #34
Brava! sheshe2 Dec 2016 #133
Yep. His brand of economic populism became a turnoff. kcr Dec 2016 #148
Hillary's campaign was designed for her to listen to voters. Bernie's campaign oasis Dec 2016 #35
Bingo! EffieBlack Dec 2016 #60
So Hillary never made promises... TCJ70 Dec 2016 #94
It was Bernie's "pie-in-the-sky"pitch that filled the stadiums. oasis Dec 2016 #95
Pie-in-the-sky...kinda like "Hope and Change". So vague, right? N/t TCJ70 Dec 2016 #97
"Vague"? Not to those who recognize bullshit when they hear it. oasis Dec 2016 #101
HRC didn't rent stadiums, she did smaller venues and events that involved meeting with and talking synergie Dec 2016 #38
Spot on perfect analysis! EffieBlack Dec 2016 #61
BS ... it cost a LOT of money PassingFair Dec 2016 #88
Bingo. TexasMommaWithAHat Dec 2016 #156
Lol Dem2 Dec 2016 #39
A new hobby might be in order. grossproffit Dec 2016 #41
Oh bullshit. ismnotwasm Dec 2016 #42
I like this. Succinct and right on the money! justhanginon Dec 2016 #53
Bernie filled stadiums. NanceGreggs Dec 2016 #43
And to put a finer point on it, voters in Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio count even more. Hassin Bin Sober Dec 2016 #114
To put an even finer point on it ... NanceGreggs Dec 2016 #136
Useless post/thread. For Christ's sake, please stop this. n/t VOX Dec 2016 #44
Hillary filled voting booths. Much as I liked BS, he lost the primary by millions. Hekate Dec 2016 #46
Excitement isn't everything. Orsino Dec 2016 #47
The Beatles filled stadiums, too DFW Dec 2016 #49
Well, when you are bigger than God... Kolesar Dec 2016 #57
Lennon wrote better songs DFW Dec 2016 #70
Paul McCartney had considerable activism on animal rights and climate protection Kolesar Dec 2016 #145
It's not that Hillary wasn't an exciting candidate, it's that Bernie was speaking to people's hearts Yo_Mama Dec 2016 #50
... and speaking to people's hearts is what was exciting. Just look at the faces of people at his JudyM Dec 2016 #68
I don't see the images you posted. sheshe2 Dec 2016 #134
Bernie filled the stadiums with people who didn't vote. Hillary filled the voting booths. n/t Lil Missy Dec 2016 #52
Sanders was devoid of substance: free college, should have locked up the bankers, ... Kolesar Dec 2016 #55
Difficult to be exciting when you are constantly fighting off.... democratisphere Dec 2016 #59
Bernie mostly "filled stadiums" on college campuses ...he was the cool grandpa Dream Girl Dec 2016 #62
Much as I liked Bernie Sanders at first Demsrule86 Dec 2016 #65
Yeah, but filled stadiums didn't translate into more votes for him. tammywammy Dec 2016 #66
Like with Gore I just can't answer treestar Dec 2016 #67
Spoken like an intellectual. Pity we don't have a country full of them. JudyM Dec 2016 #69
Seriously- this cult of personality shit is killing us. Enough. bettyellen Dec 2016 #72
Enjoy the Trump presidency Emilybemily Dec 2016 #71
+1 (nt) LongtimeAZDem Dec 2016 #84
Inaccurate analysis in an attempt to stoke division. NCTraveler Dec 2016 #73
If we are indeed in an era of "outsider politics", why are 98% of incumbents re-elected? guillaumeb Dec 2016 #76
absolutely spot on.... mike_c Dec 2016 #81
She was smart, she worked hard, she was honest and she was flexible. ucrdem Dec 2016 #87
Ouch! sheshe2 Dec 2016 #135
Mahalo, ucr! Cha Dec 2016 #166
Bernie Lost. Move on with your life. Hillary won the Primary and the General in popular vote. Lil Missy Dec 2016 #90
Are we supposed to learn from our mistakes, or circle the wagons and pretend they don't exist? dionysus Dec 2016 #121
Agreed. hellofromreddit Dec 2016 #128
She won. It was stolen. End of story. Lil Missy Dec 2016 #142
Well, tell yourself whatever makes you feel good. As far as bernie, he didn't dionysus Dec 2016 #144
and yours amount to "concern trolling". Lil Missy Dec 2016 #147
Yes, i am concerned your wing of the party might cause consecutive losses, the way shit is going! dionysus Dec 2016 #149
President Obama said at his recent press conference that there is no evidence that the actual vote totodeinhere Dec 2016 #164
didn't like Hillary but still voted for her formerGreenParty Dec 2016 #96
She wasn't that bad.. she did generate a lot of excitement.. but among the hardcore base. But she dionysus Dec 2016 #105
I hope they're excited about the massive shit sandwich Charles Bukowski Dec 2016 #113
Sometimes i believe that as a country, we collectively deserve what we ask for... dionysus Dec 2016 #120
This message was self-deleted by its author andym Dec 2016 #115
Enthusiasm helps, but look at the two George Bush's for examples of candidates who won andym Dec 2016 #116
So your opinion is large crowds votes..... Historic NY Dec 2016 #123
thank you DonCoquixote Dec 2016 #124
Without rehashing the primary crazycatlady Dec 2016 #125
Bernie filled stadiums, Hillary got more votes. Trump filled stadiums, Hillary got more votes. brooklynite Dec 2016 #126
Trump won. Maybe we should have gone with the guy who filled stadiums...n/t TCJ70 Dec 2016 #150
Do you want imagine Trump had no oppo to use against Sanders? brooklynite Dec 2016 #151
Did I say that? n/t TCJ70 Dec 2016 #153
When one party rigs an election, it's really not a win. underthematrix Dec 2016 #127
Utter GARBAGE. Hillary drew virtually the same number of votes as Obama 2012 pnwmom Dec 2016 #131
Post removed Post removed Dec 2016 #137
The DNC had 4 of it's top members resign including the chair person. What was that about? think Dec 2016 #152
Wow! LiberalFighter Dec 2016 #157
If he was so exciting, why didn't he excite people to vote? lunamagica Dec 2016 #159
Post removed Post removed Dec 2016 #165
Let's also not forget the huge numbers of new supporters Kentonio Dec 2016 #169
Seems excitement won out over actual ability & competence. baldguy Dec 2016 #170
As An Older Voter - Bullshit otohara Dec 2016 #171
Lots of truth here. realmirage Dec 2016 #175
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