2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Clinton's loss in the GE was all her fault [View all]Raster
(20,999 posts)I supported Sanders in the Primary and supported Clinton in the General. What I believe...
1. Hillary Hate. The number one contributing factor to Clinton's loss in the General was the HUGE reservoir of Hillary Hate that has been brewing, fomenting and accumulating for approximately 25 years, at least. It is almost impossible to over-state the sheer amount of malice in Red Amerika towards Hillary Clinton that has been seething and coalescing into it's own extremely profitable INDUSTRY for years. Hillary Hate has become almost a quasi-religion in Red Amerika, and a powerful one at that. Although most of the supposed issues justifying the Hillary Hate are bogus and blown completely out of portion, again, it is impossible to overstate the sheer magnitude of the hateful deep-felt and uber-negative emotions that Clinton induces. I have been absolutely amazed and appalled at persons that I thought were thoughtful, intelligent and logical people that could rapidly devolve into rabid, froth-at-the-mouth Hillary Haters at the drop of a comment or innuendo. Unless you see this personally, you really have no idea. And this is NOT just surface, rhetorical hatred. Oh no, this is visceral and down-right bone chilling. And you can't really say the Hillary Hate is primarily sexist and gender based. It is not. IMHO, this Hillary Hate is the over-reaching and overall underlying factor that colors every component of the Clinton effort to become the 45th POTUS. This is the "trump card" that allows all other Clinton negative factors to function at their most efficient.
2. US Internal Factors. In five words: James Comey and the FBI. There is no doubt in my mind that the momentum was with Clinton and the vast pool of middle-of-the-road, undecided voters were heavily leaning towards Clinton. And, strange as it sounds, I think the SECOND Comey missive actually did the most damage going into the election. Even though it should have been interpreted as a positive for Clinton, it only fed the negative. I believe these were deliberate actions by Comey to violate the Hatch Act and unduly influence the election. Add to that: a true right-wing conspiracy centered primarily within the NY office of the FBI that sought to use any method to inhibit Clinton, even violating FBI policy and the Hatch Act.
3. Internal Factors: Voter Suppression. The Republicans know they are fighting -AND LOSING- a long-term battle for the hearts and minds of the electorate. The Republicans are losing women, minorities and younger voters in spades. The only thing they can do to make sure their candidates win, is to work to limit those groups voting that would probably vote against their candidates, which they have down to LITERALLY A SCIENCE. Voter Suppression, thy name is Republican. This cannot be overstated. It is appalling that the same tried-and-true, illegal techniques to stop lawful and legal voters from casting their ballots, are still blatantly applied TO ANY ELECTION that threatens Republican hegemony. I suspect that tens-upon-tens of thousands of Clinton voters were stopped from voting this last election cycle, especially in the overly valid states of Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and North Carolina.
4. External Factors: Russia and Wikileaks. There is no doubt with any of the US Intelligence Agencies that Russia sought to influence this US election through a variety of methods, primarily the use of cyber espionage and manipulation AND PROBABLY DID SO. From the identified and verified pro-tRump dis-information farms in Eastern Europe to the Kremlin's own private army of cyber rat-fuckers, it is doubtful the American public will ever know the true depth of Russian influence, as most of this may well be classified. Add to that, the *partnership* between Wikileaks and Russia, aimed solely at contaminating the Clinton campaign efforts. And further, add to that chilling evidence that members of the tRump inner circle may have actually colluded with Russia to further influence the election. T-R-E-A-S-O-N.
5. The Clinton Campaign itself. If the election results are to be taken a full-face value, we cannot overlook how the internal polling for the "Blue Wall" states was so wrong by significant percentage points as to swing the election towards tRump. And further, if the election results are to be taken at full-face value, we must recognize that the Campaign apparently "missed" reaching a critical block of Democratic voters, and even had no idea that their loyalty AND VOTES was in question, in an area that was interpreted as solidly Democratic. Democratic yes, but NOT, evidently, solidly Clinton. There were warnings from outside the campaign hierarchy, including Bill Clinton, that the campaign was not reaching these voters. If correct, this is a textbook case of electoral underestimation, hubris and ultimately self-defeating.
6. Sexism and Racism. Yes they played a part, but IMHO, not to the degree some think. Very few of the Hillary Hate crowd that I spoke with mentioned her gender as the preeminent reason they were anti-Clinton. Sexism may have factored in, but was further down the list. And yes, Racism may have played a role for tRump, but outside of a specific group of racist haters --the alt-Reich-- Racism was more of a "side dish" and not the main course.