2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: What the AP did was like calling the presidential election on November 1 based on a Gallup poll [View all]democrattotheend
(12,011 posts)I have said many times that he should step aside if he is clearly behind after everyone has voted.
I do think Hillary should have been declared the winner at the time she achieved enough pledged delegates that Bernie could not mathematically catch up (as in impossible, not unlikely), which likely would have been tonight, because as many of you have said, the superdelegates tend to follow the pledged delegates. At the very least, if they were going to declare it based on superdelegates, it should have been based on announcements from superdelegates willing to go on record. Declaring a winner on a night when there were no primaries is just weird and makes it feel like votes don't matter.
As I said in my OP, which many Hillary supporters obviously didn't read, I think what the AP did sucks for both candidates and for the party. Hillary will likely achieve a historic milestone tonight, and yet fewer people will tune in for her speech because they are not watching the election results because they were told it's over. Obviously, her core supporters are all tuned in, but many others, some of whom may still be deciding whom to vote for in November, will not. As an Obama supporter, I would have been mad as hell if this had happened in 2008.
It's obvious to me that Hillary's people didn't plan this, because if she had wanted to declare victory and give her speech last night she could have had the supers publicly announce. I think the AP and NBC did it to get the "scoop" first and so they could go back to their regularly scheduled All Trump, all the Time show.