Baseball

303squadron

(710 posts)

12. You might be right, but......

Sat Dec 30, 2023, 10:36 PM

Dec 2023

By what ever means you use to determine value, like WAR, Ohtani will not produce the same value in 2024 as he did in 2023.

1. Part of his value in 2023 was pitching which he won't be doing in 2024.
2. The previously mentioned James article on the decline in performance on the first year of a free agent contract.
3. Regression to the mean pulls at every player, HOFer or not.
4. Park effects will negate his home run production since its easier to hit a dinger in the Angels Park for a lefty than it is in Dodger Stadium.

On the other side of the ledger is his considerable talent plus the fact that he has less wear and tear on his body for a 29 year old. But not less enough to prevent his current arm injury! Father Time has already sunk his first claws in the lad.

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Dear Dodger fans: A few words of warning from Lt. Commander Spock [View all] 303squadron Dec 2023 OP

C'mon, Spock! True Dough Dec 2023 #1

Ticket sales ColinC Dec 2023 #3

At the age of 42. Nolan Ryan won 16 games and struck out 301 batters nightwing1240 Dec 2023 #2

Many can produce in their 30's, more don't 303squadron Dec 2023 #6

And that is why we play the season and see what transpires nightwing1240 Dec 2023 #8

Roberts is a terrible manager. ificandream Jan 2024 #13

Hundreds Of High Level Players Have Had GREAT Success In Their 30s ProfessorGAC Dec 2023 #9

I dont think so 303squadron Dec 2023 #10

I Read James Regularly ProfessorGAC Dec 2023 #11

You might be right, but...... 303squadron Dec 2023 #12

If he is 29 now, how does he turn 31 in July? Bristlecone Dec 2023 #4

Yes 303squadron Dec 2023 #5

Farhan learned by signing recovering surgical cases. They were mediocre at best. usonian Dec 2023 #7