I'm a former member of S.A.B.R.
I got interested in predictive analysis of sports a few years after I got Mt MS in statistics. That was just as James started getting people's attention.
I still don't think you're interpreting the information correctly.
Had you said 34, there's no question you'd be right.
And, don't get me started on WAR. It's an overly manipulated statistic, and the big 3 advanced metrics outfits all calculate it differently.
It's fraught with questionable mathematical steps that are normally anathema to indices. They manipulated the stats until the right historical players rose to the top. Terrible contracts.
In addition, remember that in Japan, he only averaged 83 games per season, and only once went over 100 games played. He has somewhat less wear & tear than many 29 year old star players. Close to 2 MLB seasons worth. Plus, he was mostly a DH when not pitching fir the Angels. Again, less wear & tear per season.
Look, I'm not saying LAD is going to get their money's worth, at east on the field. I'm not a fan of super long-term contracts. I'm glad my Cubs bowed out.
But, you can't place Ohtani on the same statistical track as the preponderance of MLB stars. Too many differences to ignore.
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