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Peak Oil

4dsc

(5,787 posts)

5. What are your prediction based upon?

Reply to happyslug (Reply #2)

Fri Dec 23, 2011, 08:41 AM

Dec 2011

I have a real problem with your assumptions that "oil production in 2030, will be about the same as 1980". I have seen many predictions but this one appears to be the most rosy one yet. Its estimated that by 2020 the worlds oil production will be 20-30% less than today's totals. I would love to know what you base you numbers upon.

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Highlight:

The Peak Oil Crisis: 2012 -- Apocalypse Now? [View all] Lyric Dec 2011 OP

I've been slowly gathering supplies for the past few years.. Viva_La_Revolution Dec 2011 #1

Lets keep Peak oil in perspective, oil production will drop, but gradually not rapidly happyslug Dec 2011 #2

What are your prediction based upon? 4dsc Dec 2011 #5

Yes, those assumptions look decidedly optimistic GliderGuider Dec 2011 #7

look at the SLOPE of the graph you used for 1965-1973 and post 2005 happyslug Dec 2011 #13

And if countries start beating the war drums over the remaining oil resources? NickB79 Dec 2011 #14

Economic reality is a tough thing to defeat militarily happyslug Dec 2011 #15

I expect the effect of PO to be completely obscured by the coming global economic "difficulty" GliderGuider Dec 2011 #16

I agree with the saw tooth decline AND that conflicts will occur happyslug Dec 2011 #17

Hubbert's Curve happyslug Dec 2011 #8

Preparing as in stockpiling food and ammo? No. GliderGuider Dec 2011 #3

Well I can't afford to buy land, but I have some skills for hard living. Lyric Dec 2011 #4

Plus, throw in disasters created by the rush to extract dwindling fules dixiegrrrrl Dec 2011 #6

Also disasters caused by the burning of said fuels, ie weather instability due to climate change NickB79 Dec 2011 #9

Why do you think a chunk of land is the way to go? NickB79 Dec 2011 #10

It's a question of probabilities GliderGuider Dec 2011 #11

For inspiration, look to Cuba Kennah Dec 2011 #12