Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Peak Oil

NickB79

(19,625 posts)

14. And if countries start beating the war drums over the remaining oil resources?

Reply to happyslug (Reply #13)

Tue Dec 27, 2011, 04:02 PM

Dec 2011

Your analysis is well-reasoned if applied to a rational, logical world. We, unfortunately, don't live in such a world. Things such as political unrest and even resource wars are a very real possibility, not just due to Peak Oil but also climate change as food resources are strained.

I wouldn't count on a nice, orderly decline in oil consumption when so many nations that depend on it also have massive weapons inventories at hand. For example, just today Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz to oil exports: http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/27/us-iran-oil-hormuz-idUSTRE7BQ0I320111227

Things are getting fun indeed.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

17 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

The Peak Oil Crisis: 2012 -- Apocalypse Now? [View all] Lyric Dec 2011 OP

I've been slowly gathering supplies for the past few years.. Viva_La_Revolution Dec 2011 #1

Lets keep Peak oil in perspective, oil production will drop, but gradually not rapidly happyslug Dec 2011 #2

What are your prediction based upon? 4dsc Dec 2011 #5

Yes, those assumptions look decidedly optimistic GliderGuider Dec 2011 #7

look at the SLOPE of the graph you used for 1965-1973 and post 2005 happyslug Dec 2011 #13

And if countries start beating the war drums over the remaining oil resources? NickB79 Dec 2011 #14

Economic reality is a tough thing to defeat militarily happyslug Dec 2011 #15

I expect the effect of PO to be completely obscured by the coming global economic "difficulty" GliderGuider Dec 2011 #16

I agree with the saw tooth decline AND that conflicts will occur happyslug Dec 2011 #17

Hubbert's Curve happyslug Dec 2011 #8

Preparing as in stockpiling food and ammo? No. GliderGuider Dec 2011 #3

Well I can't afford to buy land, but I have some skills for hard living. Lyric Dec 2011 #4

Plus, throw in disasters created by the rush to extract dwindling fules dixiegrrrrl Dec 2011 #6

Also disasters caused by the burning of said fuels, ie weather instability due to climate change NickB79 Dec 2011 #9

Why do you think a chunk of land is the way to go? NickB79 Dec 2011 #10

It's a question of probabilities GliderGuider Dec 2011 #11

For inspiration, look to Cuba Kennah Dec 2011 #12