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Autumn

(46,082 posts)
Wed Feb 11, 2015, 06:33 PM Feb 2015

Draft-Warren group says she has support in early states



http://onpolitics.usatoday.com/2015/02/11/draft-warren-group-says-she-has-support-in-early-states/
The online survey by YouGov was sponsored by MoveOn.org and Democracy for America, which have staff and offices in Iowa and New Hampshire working to build support for a Warren candidacy. Its margin of error is 6.7% in Iowa and 6.3% in New Hampshire.

Voters in Iowa favor Warren over Clinton 31% to 24%, although 35% of likely caucusgoers say they are still unsure. In New Hampshire, where Clinton won the Democratic primary in 2008 against Barack Obama, Warren leads Clinton by a smaller margin, 30%-27%, and 31% are unsure.

The poll shows voters in the early states are “moveable,” says Adam Ruben of MoveOn.org. “There’s an opening for her to build the level of support she would need to win.’’

A Bloomberg Politics/St. Anselm College poll released Feb. 8 showed Clinton leading Warren 56% to 15% among likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire.



I loved this sentence from the last paragraph.

“A candidate like Elizabeth Warren, as these numbers show, is capable of creating lightning in a bottle.’’
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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
2. You might want to read this, Autumn, before you get too excited
Wed Feb 11, 2015, 06:43 PM
Feb 2015

about this poll you've OP'd

Why You Can't Believe These Polls Reporting Warrenmania - Bloomberg

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026212846

Autumn

(46,082 posts)
4. I included this from the article and that is what I found to be interesting.
Wed Feb 11, 2015, 06:54 PM
Feb 2015
The poll shows voters in the early states are “moveable,” says Adam Ruben of MoveOn.org. “There’s an opening for her to build the level of support she would need to win.’’


I don't think Liz will run but it's good to discuss all thing Liz. Voters are movable, and the party should listen to that.

DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
6. Yes, but his comments preceding that sentence...
Wed Feb 11, 2015, 07:08 PM
Feb 2015
"This is not a so-called 'clean' head-to-head ballot question," stated MoveOn in the polling summary, "as voters were provided positive information about Warren but not other potential candidates. It should not be read as reflecting how Iowans or Granite Staters would vote if the caucuses or primary were held today


That deflate his assertion that people are "moveable." Essentially, they are acknowledging this was a push poll. The margin of error in the poll, combined with the fact it was an online poll, further detracts from the poll's viability. I really wish they wouldn't do this type of polling and then announce some type of grand revelation was had.

RationalMan

(96 posts)
3. She, and Bernie Sanders, epitomize my beliefs but....
Wed Feb 11, 2015, 06:54 PM
Feb 2015

Warren has said she isn't interested. Can't we respect her choice? We talk about being "pro-choice" in abortion matters but we continue to push someone who is a reluctant candidate.

Sanders, for some of the same reasons is, in my view, unelectable. If we had a plurality of progressive voters in this country we would have a winner. But his views are far too extreme for the great unwashed voting masses.

Let us leave both of them in the Senate to fight the good fight and find the new bright, shining star for 2016. In my humble opinion it is NOT Clinton.

Autumn

(46,082 posts)
5. This is politics, Liz is a politician. It's not a pro choice abortion issue, it's about getting her
Wed Feb 11, 2015, 06:58 PM
Feb 2015

to run because we need her. She can just as easily fight the good fight from the White House with her appointments.

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