2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumYes, Bernie could have won under the exact right circumstances
1. That HRC's followers voted for him and did not vote third party or stay home, like some of his own followers did.
Given, that her followers have now been spurned twice, this is not such a given. Obama was inspiring to me, even as an HRC supporter, that Bernie never could be, and while i personally would never stay home or vote third party, it's silly to assume ALL her supporters would feel the same way.
2. That no scandal could be manufactured about him, and exploited by FBI and Putin and the media.
Which could happen, but no one here knows for a fact that it could not have happened. The email scandal was wholly manufactured, as were the the really strange interpretations of podesta's emails by wikileaks.
There were similar scandals in the background about Sanders, that maybe everyone would be nice about and ignore, or they would create something out of a nothingburger.
3. The white middle class were ok knowing there would a tax increase on them, that may end up helping non-whites.
Under those circumstances he could have won. Under the exact same circumstance so could HRC.
tblue37
(66,035 posts)that the clear ascendancy of neo-Nazi attitudes in the US population might have made his Jewish heritage an issue, even though he is not religious (and THAT would also have been used against him).
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)Joe941
(2,848 posts)Sexism could have been was cost Clinton the election!
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)Me.
(35,454 posts)Given his fantasies, written, no less for posterity.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Ligyron
(7,892 posts)It was the late, great United States of America.
And the Democrats aren't going to be able to do a damn thing about it, apparently.
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)Response to La Lioness Priyanka (Original post)
Post removed
La Lioness Priyanka
(53,866 posts)but would be during general and would fall under part 2.
uponit7771
(91,754 posts)LisaL
(46,601 posts)So I don't see how #2 would have been possible. And we all know they can manufacture scandals out of pretty much nothing. And it certainly looks like they could have come up with a scandal or two regarding Bernie.
duffyduff
(3,251 posts)if he had a mile-and-a-quarter head start in the mile-and-a-half Belmont Stakes in 1973 and he would have barely won.
Twice A Prince was a far better racehorse than Sanders was a presidential candidate.
JCanete
(5,272 posts)kind of pointless. But there is one thing that can be said about Sander's as a candidate that could not be said about Clinton or the establishment: he was making a case against corporate influence on our elections, and that includes the corporate media. He didn't have to entertain them on their terms. He could have pointed out their own affiliations at every turn, right to their faces.
They would have done what they do of course. They would have tried to make that a total joke...made him look foolish...hell, senile...but they weren't the ones that made Sanders. They weren't necessarily going to be able to unmake him. It would have been far harder to bring his dislike numbers to where Clinton or Trump's were, under those circumstances. However, they would have cared a fuck-load more. The machinery would not accept a candidate meddling with the primal forces of nature, so there's every likelihood that they would have prevailed at the end of the day, and whether the battle would have set back or moved forward an anti-establishment movement in the end is just as in question.
LaydeeBug
(10,291 posts)nt
HoneyBadger
(2,297 posts)Game over, it is not that complicated
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)would have voted for Sanders instead.
That's not what would have happened.
SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)I'm skeptical that that would have occurred as well. (This alternate universe where Bernie is the nominee never seems to take into account his struggles frankly with appealing to AA voters that weren't young.)
HoneyBadger
(2,297 posts)SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)For all this "we need to appeal to WWC voters and Bernie would have done that" talk, everyone seems to ignore the fact that he just tanked with AA voters, specifically AA women, during the primary. And this is despite his, often times, terrible outreach. I mean, Cornel freaking West, does not endear you to Obama supporters at all. Those voters make the Democratic party competitive.
#3 is a big on as well. I just doubt that struggling voters would vote for someone that would raise their taxes and rightly/wrongly the struggles with Obamacare, and some pure distrust in the government would have made the trade offs a hard sell. Hell, with the way things are going in the Trump cabinet, I'm starting to feel uneasy about the power of the government given the amount of incompetence being empowered right now.
Hassin Bin Sober
(26,691 posts)Even hardcore republicans were looking for an alternative to vote for. They refused to vote for the person they've been brainwashed for 25 years to believe is their arch enemy.
Hillary's astronomically high unfavorable ratings is what even made this a horse race. It's what made it close enough to steal.