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La Lioness Priyanka

(53,866 posts)
Fri Dec 23, 2016, 04:48 PM Dec 2016

Yes, Bernie could have won under the exact right circumstances

1. That HRC's followers voted for him and did not vote third party or stay home, like some of his own followers did.

Given, that her followers have now been spurned twice, this is not such a given. Obama was inspiring to me, even as an HRC supporter, that Bernie never could be, and while i personally would never stay home or vote third party, it's silly to assume ALL her supporters would feel the same way.

2. That no scandal could be manufactured about him, and exploited by FBI and Putin and the media.

Which could happen, but no one here knows for a fact that it could not have happened. The email scandal was wholly manufactured, as were the the really strange interpretations of podesta's emails by wikileaks.

There were similar scandals in the background about Sanders, that maybe everyone would be nice about and ignore, or they would create something out of a nothingburger.

3. The white middle class were ok knowing there would a tax increase on them, that may end up helping non-whites.

Under those circumstances he could have won. Under the exact same circumstance so could HRC.

22 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Yes, Bernie could have won under the exact right circumstances (Original Post) La Lioness Priyanka Dec 2016 OP
Don't forget that racists are also frequently antisemites. I supported Bernie, but I now suspect tblue37 Dec 2016 #1
yeah. La Lioness Priyanka Dec 2016 #2
Sexism was an issue Bernie wouldn't have had against him though. Joe941 Dec 2016 #3
yeah. that's true enough. La Lioness Priyanka Dec 2016 #6
Not Sure About That Me. Dec 2016 #11
That definitely can't be overlooked. NWCorona Dec 2016 #12
Well we sure as hell know who lost. Ligyron Dec 2016 #4
aint that the truth La Lioness Priyanka Dec 2016 #5
Post removed Post removed Dec 2016 #7
yes, which was not hammered on during primaries La Lioness Priyanka Dec 2016 #8
2 is very important... we could've ran anyone and the FBI would've made some shit up about them uponit7771 Dec 2016 #9
Republicans had a file on Bernie and were ready to use it if he became a nominee. LisaL Dec 2016 #10
Yes, and Twice A Prince would have beaten Secretariat duffyduff Dec 2016 #13
Yes, of course it would have been an uphill battle, and speculating about it, is in part, JCanete Dec 2016 #14
game theory. The Russians would have hacked it a different way LaydeeBug Dec 2016 #15
If every Hillary voter and a few Trump voters voted for Bernie HoneyBadger Dec 2016 #16
That assumes every surbanite Hillary voter geek tragedy Dec 2016 #17
It also assumes that Bernie would have gotten nearly the same amount of AA turnout as Hillary. SaschaHM Dec 2016 #18
Who would they have voted for instead? HoneyBadger Dec 2016 #21
Chances are that they wouldn't have voted or they could have gone 3rd party. SaschaHM Dec 2016 #22
4. That Bernie would have a turnout of AA voters near what Clinton had. SaschaHM Dec 2016 #19
Hillary had, at 59%, an astronomically high unfavorable rating among registered voters. Hassin Bin Sober Dec 2016 #20

tblue37

(66,035 posts)
1. Don't forget that racists are also frequently antisemites. I supported Bernie, but I now suspect
Fri Dec 23, 2016, 05:04 PM
Dec 2016

that the clear ascendancy of neo-Nazi attitudes in the US population might have made his Jewish heritage an issue, even though he is not religious (and THAT would also have been used against him).

 

Joe941

(2,848 posts)
3. Sexism was an issue Bernie wouldn't have had against him though.
Fri Dec 23, 2016, 05:06 PM
Dec 2016

Sexism could have been was cost Clinton the election!

Ligyron

(7,892 posts)
4. Well we sure as hell know who lost.
Fri Dec 23, 2016, 05:35 PM
Dec 2016

It was the late, great United States of America.

And the Democrats aren't going to be able to do a damn thing about it, apparently.

Response to La Lioness Priyanka (Original post)

LisaL

(46,601 posts)
10. Republicans had a file on Bernie and were ready to use it if he became a nominee.
Fri Dec 23, 2016, 07:40 PM
Dec 2016

So I don't see how #2 would have been possible. And we all know they can manufacture scandals out of pretty much nothing. And it certainly looks like they could have come up with a scandal or two regarding Bernie.

 

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)
13. Yes, and Twice A Prince would have beaten Secretariat
Sat Dec 24, 2016, 12:52 AM
Dec 2016

if he had a mile-and-a-quarter head start in the mile-and-a-half Belmont Stakes in 1973 and he would have barely won.

Twice A Prince was a far better racehorse than Sanders was a presidential candidate.

 

JCanete

(5,272 posts)
14. Yes, of course it would have been an uphill battle, and speculating about it, is in part,
Sat Dec 24, 2016, 11:21 AM
Dec 2016

kind of pointless. But there is one thing that can be said about Sander's as a candidate that could not be said about Clinton or the establishment: he was making a case against corporate influence on our elections, and that includes the corporate media. He didn't have to entertain them on their terms. He could have pointed out their own affiliations at every turn, right to their faces.

They would have done what they do of course. They would have tried to make that a total joke...made him look foolish...hell, senile...but they weren't the ones that made Sanders. They weren't necessarily going to be able to unmake him. It would have been far harder to bring his dislike numbers to where Clinton or Trump's were, under those circumstances. However, they would have cared a fuck-load more. The machinery would not accept a candidate meddling with the primal forces of nature, so there's every likelihood that they would have prevailed at the end of the day, and whether the battle would have set back or moved forward an anti-establishment movement in the end is just as in question.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
17. That assumes every surbanite Hillary voter
Sat Dec 24, 2016, 11:56 AM
Dec 2016

would have voted for Sanders instead.

That's not what would have happened.

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)
18. It also assumes that Bernie would have gotten nearly the same amount of AA turnout as Hillary.
Sat Dec 24, 2016, 12:02 PM
Dec 2016

I'm skeptical that that would have occurred as well. (This alternate universe where Bernie is the nominee never seems to take into account his struggles frankly with appealing to AA voters that weren't young.)

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)
19. 4. That Bernie would have a turnout of AA voters near what Clinton had.
Sat Dec 24, 2016, 12:20 PM
Dec 2016

For all this "we need to appeal to WWC voters and Bernie would have done that" talk, everyone seems to ignore the fact that he just tanked with AA voters, specifically AA women, during the primary. And this is despite his, often times, terrible outreach. I mean, Cornel freaking West, does not endear you to Obama supporters at all. Those voters make the Democratic party competitive.

#3 is a big on as well. I just doubt that struggling voters would vote for someone that would raise their taxes and rightly/wrongly the struggles with Obamacare, and some pure distrust in the government would have made the trade offs a hard sell. Hell, with the way things are going in the Trump cabinet, I'm starting to feel uneasy about the power of the government given the amount of incompetence being empowered right now.

Hassin Bin Sober

(26,691 posts)
20. Hillary had, at 59%, an astronomically high unfavorable rating among registered voters.
Sat Dec 24, 2016, 12:41 PM
Dec 2016

Even hardcore republicans were looking for an alternative to vote for. They refused to vote for the person they've been brainwashed for 25 years to believe is their arch enemy.

Hillary's astronomically high unfavorable ratings is what even made this a horse race. It's what made it close enough to steal.

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