2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDems grapple with lessons from Clinton disaster
A good read from The Hill this morning
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/309483-dems-grapple-with-lessons-from-clinton-disaster
Everybody can point to something that went wrong and theyre right, he said. It (the close electoral win for Trump) makes it impossible to know what the party really needs to do.
The [Bernie] Sanders people believe, if only we had been more populist wed have won, and theyre right. The Hillary people believe, if only Bernie hadnt attacked her so hard in the primary wed have won, and theyre right. Everybodys right.
4139
(1,976 posts)Big time serious but not why we lost
vi5
(13,305 posts)We won the popular vote. More people agree with us and our message.
The margin of loss in the key states that we assumed we would win but didn't was minimal.
Our margin of victory in blue states was large.
I live in a blue state(NJ( and saw tons of advertising, tons of canvasers at my door, people offering to take others to the polls.
If some of those resources had been sent from a sure thing state like mine to a less than 100% state like Wisconsin or Florida or Michigan or any of the others that Obama won but HRC lost, then none of this would have been an issue.
Too many assumptions were made that were wrong. Next time out let's not make those assumptions, and we should be fine.
4139
(1,976 posts)that back in October we (and also the media)were laughing at
Trump campaigning in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
We were too cocky
RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)You can't have a good "strategy" that works without a compelling economic message to power it. If you are not connecting with people, it doesn't matter how many times you knock on their door. They will close it in your face. A compelling jobs message front and center was TOTALLY LACKING, and we have been hollowed out all through rural and smalltown America for DISGUSTINGLY FAILING to offer these mostly GOOD people who are in economic PAIN anything to vote for. I grew up in the smalltown working class, and it is SICKENING that we have a Democratic Party that doesn't know how to talk to people like me and all those I grew up with. NO EXCUSE for it!!
We can't just be a big city party of urban liberal elites. We can not be a party of SOME people but not others. We need to be the party of WORKING AMERICANS EVERYWHERE!!
vi5
(13,305 posts)I agree that our side doesnt always choose to trumpet that message and platform loud enough or make it clear enough the ways in which our policies and the policies of Democrats throughout history have helped the working class. They too often let Republicans frame the debate. But I still maintain that is more of a strategy failure to not pivot in the right direction than it is the core message being wrong.
Exilednight
(9,359 posts)There was a detailed plan, but there was no 3 to 5 word sound bite to sell it.
Obama had "Main Street, not Wall Street". Bill had, "it's the economy, stupid".
What was Hillary's?
kudzu22
(1,273 posts)Sounds like an anti-Brexit slogan to me.
Exilednight
(9,359 posts)had no significant meaning behind it.
It sounds rather generic, and doesn't have a policy behind it.
uponit7771
(91,671 posts)RBInMaine
(13,570 posts)uponit7771
(91,671 posts)Exilednight
(9,359 posts)111th Congress we controlled 57 Senate seats and 256 House seats
112th Congress we controlled 52 Senate seats and 193 House seats
113th Congress we controlled 54 Senate seats and 201 House seats
114th Congress we controlled 44 Senate seats and 188 House seats
That's not even counting state houses and gubernatorial seats.
4139
(1,976 posts)The FBI on-off-on-off investigation hurt, but i don't think the DNC hack hurt HRC
uponit7771
(91,671 posts)... false bars of amplitude
uponit7771
(91,671 posts)... actionable enough cause that's at least an admission that there was a swing at all.
The offending team can't end the game on an interference call... PERIOD
Coyotl
(15,262 posts)Winning the electoral college by a few thousand votes is a tragedy. The disaster isn't Clinton, the disaster is the defeat of democracy and the ability of a minority party to overthrow the government by voter suppression, gerrymandering, hacking, and propaganda.
Orsino
(37,428 posts)Clinton bears some responsibility for the loss, but I would name it after someone else.
The country capable of electing Ronald Reagan and Arnold Schwarzenegger was going to be vulnerable to any televised airhead.
Sen. Walter Sobchak
(8,692 posts)Clinton-Gore was able to take the war to the Solid South and carried six states, Clinton-Kaine won only Virginia and lost the election in States Clinton-Gore swept in 1992.
Bill and Hillary Clinton as the perfect Boomer power couple and Hillary as trailblazer also doesn't click with young voters in 2016. They want either a political rockstar that plays to their idealism or firebrand who plays to their anger. Clinton could do neither.
TheFrenchRazor
(2,116 posts)LaydeeBug
(10,291 posts)But when you post "let it sink" that keeps it from sinking.
duffyduff
(3,251 posts)Jesus fucking Christ. This is about TRUMP.
This has nothing to do with the fucking primaries.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)Clinton didn't lose b/c her, or her campaign, or her message or ANYTHING ELSE UNDER HER CONTROL was a "disaster".
Clinton lost because a crime was committed & lies were told against her.