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The 2024 Election Based on Political Betting Odds (Original Post) bobnicewander Apr 2024 OP
Thanks for posting this... Think. Again. Apr 2024 #1
It will be interesting to see how this changes as the election draws closer. NBachers Apr 2024 #2
Which is why we're going so hard in Florida bucolic_frolic Apr 2024 #3
Hoping fervently that abortion and marijuana on the ballot means FL has a chance to go blue. lark Apr 2024 #5
That is way too effing close. Scrivener7 Apr 2024 #4
With almost 7 months before bobnicewander Apr 2024 #6
It is way too close, but I'm thinking this is probably going to be the outcome. japple Apr 2024 #7

Think. Again.

(17,916 posts)
1. Thanks for posting this...
Sat Apr 20, 2024, 04:59 AM
Apr 2024

...trying to predict results based on betting odds in which the possible benefit is from getting a true result, makes a lot more sense than trying to predict results based on for-profit polling in which the possible benefit is from either getting the poll sold to the media or from influencing the vote.

lark

(24,149 posts)
5. Hoping fervently that abortion and marijuana on the ballot means FL has a chance to go blue.
Sat Apr 20, 2024, 10:28 AM
Apr 2024

Lots of asshat northern magas have moved here due to the low taxes and tsf and now the vile redness has exploded. However, there are plenty of women and thinking people that aren't part of the craziness and I'm hoping they show up in a big way and that in 2024 my state goes blue like my county did.

bobnicewander

(911 posts)
6. With almost 7 months before
Sat Apr 20, 2024, 01:41 PM
Apr 2024

the election Arizona with only 51% favoring tRump at this time might be a target to try to turn Blue.

japple

(10,317 posts)
7. It is way too close, but I'm thinking this is probably going to be the outcome.
Sat Apr 20, 2024, 06:37 PM
Apr 2024

Between the big money, cheaters, and tRUMPsters vs the folks who really care about this country, it's way too close for comfort.

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