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SecularMotion

(7,981 posts)
Mon Feb 1, 2016, 05:42 AM Feb 2016

Gun Control Can Swing the 2016 Election

Gun violence was always going to play a bigger role in 2016 than it has in any election in recent memory simply because of its sheer, in-your-face relevance: The nation can’t seem to go a week without a horrific shooting. But now that President Obama has taken action to bolster background checks and come out swinging against the National Rifle Association, joined by the leading Democratic presidential contenders, gun control has the potential to be the deciding issue of 2016. And it’s Democrats, for a change, who stand to benefit.

For two decades now, the conventional wisdom in Washington has been that any focus on gun control helps Republicans and hurts (if not dooms) Democrats, not just in presidential races but down the ballot in all but the bluest states. Fear of the wrath—and deep campaign coffers—of the NRA has led Democrats to make often-ridiculous displays of their love for hunting, and to avoid running on policy prescriptions for gun violence. This defensive stance first took hold after the 1994 midterms, when an assault-rifle ban pushed by President Bill Clinton was blamed for Republicans’ winning majorities in both houses of Congress. In 2000, Al Gore’s loss in his home state of Tennessee, which made Florida the pivotal state that cost him the presidency, was also attributed to his support for gun control. Noam Scheiber reported for the New Republic in 2001 that Gore’s team of advisers had worried that “gun control would hurt the vice president in the states he needed most,” particularly among rural voters in Pennsylvania, western Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa. “After the election,” Scheiber wrote, “the Gore campaign’s hunch became Democratic gospel.”

President Obama treaded carefully on the issue in his first run for office in 2008, calling (with little detail or emphasis) for “common-sense reforms.” His position on guns, he often said on the campaign trail, was not “an excuse not to vote for me.” During his first term, the Democrats’ fear of the gun lobby still prevailed; after his first year, in fact, the Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence gave Obama seven out of seven F’s on a report card for repeatedly failing to stand up to the gun lobby.

After he won re-election in 2012—with no more campaigns to run—Obama began to change his tune, a process that culminated in last week’s executive actions to broaden background checks and expand enforcement of gun laws. At a CNN town hall on gun violence that followed later in the week, Obama went after the gun lobby directly, calling out the NRA for skipping the event: “Since this is a main reason they exist, you’d think that they’d be prepared to have a debate with the president,” he said, archly. Later, he called the group’s views on gun confiscation a “conspiracy.”

https://newrepublic.com/article/127473/gun-control-can-swing-2016-election
11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Gun Control Can Swing the 2016 Election (Original Post) SecularMotion Feb 2016 OP
Good, it should. elleng Feb 2016 #1
And after tonight, his campaign will no longer be relevant derby378 Feb 2016 #6
Gun control is a losing issue for Democrats TeddyR Feb 2016 #2
That happen in CO once... beevul Feb 2016 #3
Don't forget Gov.McAuliffe retreat in disregarding reciprocity last week. Nuclear Unicorn Feb 2016 #4
Yes, thats actually a good example of how anti-gunners... beevul Feb 2016 #9
Well, to be honest ... DonP Feb 2016 #10
Gun control sure can influence the 2016 election GreydeeThos Feb 2016 #5
A winning plan discntnt_irny_srcsm Feb 2016 #7
Oh......it will swing the election all right! pablo_marmol Feb 2016 #8
Yes. Just look at dozens of blood-red legislatures. nt Eleanors38 Feb 2016 #11

elleng

(136,063 posts)
1. Good, it should.
Mon Feb 1, 2016, 05:53 AM
Feb 2016

We have a candidate who has experience passing and implementing such, in a contentious environment, and with a plan to do so nationwide.

PREVENTING AND REDUCING GUN VIOLENCE

https://martinomalley.com/policy/preventing-and-reducing-gun-violence/

derby378

(30,261 posts)
6. And after tonight, his campaign will no longer be relevant
Mon Feb 1, 2016, 08:28 PM
Feb 2016

O'Malley wants to require that I get a permit before I can legally own a gun. Not even Clinton is that extreme.

 

TeddyR

(2,493 posts)
2. Gun control is a losing issue for Democrats
Mon Feb 1, 2016, 08:28 AM
Feb 2016

And has been for years, as you well know. Not a single one of the Democratic candidates for president has put forth any proposal that would actually impact gun violence in any significant way.

 

beevul

(12,194 posts)
3. That happen in CO once...
Mon Feb 1, 2016, 02:06 PM
Feb 2016

Even when the 'gun lobby' was outspent 5 to 1 by Bloomberg.

Oh, that's not what you meant?

 

beevul

(12,194 posts)
9. Yes, thats actually a good example of how anti-gunners...
Wed Feb 3, 2016, 11:30 PM
Feb 2016

Yes, thats actually a good example of how anti-gunners all claim they want 'compromise' and then when actual compromise happens, they get all pissy.

It shows they're not at all interested in compromise.

 

DonP

(6,185 posts)
10. Well, to be honest ...
Thu Feb 4, 2016, 10:01 AM
Feb 2016

... the anti gunners never actually say they want compromise.

What they say is things like; "Why won't you gun people just compromise a little ... for the children".

Then when we suggest some compromises that include things we want, like universal CCW reciprocity or taking suppressors out of Class III items, they go ape shit screaming about how intransigent we are and how selfish. Then a few get so mad, they tell us what they really, really mean with demands for Australian Style gun control, e.g. forced confiscation.

Their version of "compromise" is; we give up something now and they'll tell us what we need to give up next week.

GreydeeThos

(958 posts)
5. Gun control sure can influence the 2016 election
Mon Feb 1, 2016, 05:36 PM
Feb 2016

I sure hope our candidates drop the gun control issue like a hot potato before our Republican adversaries capitalize on it and turn it into a losing issue for Democrats.

discntnt_irny_srcsm

(18,577 posts)
7. A winning plan
Tue Feb 2, 2016, 08:26 AM
Feb 2016
After he won re-election in 2012—with no more campaigns to run—Obama began to change his tune, a process that culminated in last week’s executive actions to broaden background checks and expand enforcement of gun laws.


The problems with this approach:
1- I say this is what I believe to be right but I'll wait til I'm close to being a lame duck to say it. (note A)
2- I avoided saying this for 7 seven years because it was politically incorrect. (note B)
3- Politicians make statements for 3 reasons, which reason motivated the EAs a few weeks ago? (note C)



(note A) IMNSHO that sounds like: "I'll say what think since I can't run and won't lose any votes."
(note B) "Politically incorrect" really means saying "this might lose votes for me".
(note C) One reason you might say something is to influence voters but, since Obama isn't running, that's not it. A second reason you might say something is to get media attention. A third reason you might say something is to get donation for your party. If you can add two and three and then check your bank balance, you'll know whether he's talking to you or not.
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