The Kremlin Is Preparing for a Much Worse War - Jason Jay Smart

[TexasTowelie]

Ukraine’s drone strikes inside Russia are changing the war in Ukraine. In this analysis, I break down how Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil ports, logistics hubs, and defense-linked infrastructure are raising costs for Vladimir Putin while Russian territorial gains slow sharply. This is no longer only a front-line story. It is a widening pressure campaign against the systems that finance, supply, and sustain Russia’s war machine.

The battlefield numbers matter because they connect directly to the economy. As Russia spends more men for less land, repeated strikes on export routes, industrial targets, and military-linked facilities threaten energy revenue, logistics, recruitment, and production. I examine how pressure on hubs like Ust-Luga and Novorossiysk fits into a larger pattern of disruption that is forcing the Kremlin to absorb higher costs for weaker returns.

This video explains why Ukraine’s long-range drone campaign matters beyond the daily headlines. The front is harder to move, the rear is under mounting strain, and the Russian system is being tested at the same time on manpower, money, and infrastructure. That shift could shape the next phase of the Russia-Ukraine war, the resilience of Putin’s state, and the future balance of pressure inside Russia itself.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 - Intro: Ukraine’s Drone Superiority Over Russia
02:07 - Battlefield Failure: Why Putin Has No Cards Left
03:54 - Military Attrition: The Rising Blood Price for Land
05:36 - Oil Crisis: Ukraine Bankrupts the Kremlin Machine
07:50 - Manpower Crisis: The Hollowed-Out Russian Army
10:49 - Economic Collapse: Kremlin’s Financial Buffer Burns
12:41 - Final Chapter: Putin’s Inevitable Fall from Power

[truddy777]

1. This is insane

People don't realize how much the Black Sea Fleet retreat changed everything. Ukraine proved Russia's navy couldn't protect its own ships. Now they're proving the same about energy infrastructure. The pattern is clear.

[msongs]

2. not sure why russia is not bombing drone factories and ukraine does not bomb moscow much nt

[Roy Rolling]

3. I follow this guy

His insights are useful.