Foreign Affairs
Related: About this forumUkraine's parliament passes a controversial law to boost much-needed conscripts as war drags on
KYIV, Ukraine (AP) Ukraines parliament passed a controversial law Thursday that will govern how the country calls up new soldiers at a time when it needs to replenish depleted forces who are increasingly struggling to fend off Russias advance.
The law was passed against a backdrop of an escalating Russian campaign that has devastated Ukraines energy infrastructure in recent weeks. Authorities said overnight missile and drone attacks completely destroyed the Trypilska thermal power plant, the largest power-generating facility in the capital region.
Two years after Russias full-scale invasion captured nearly a quarter of the country, the stakes could not be higher for Kyiv. After a string of victories in the first year of the war, fortunes have turned for the Ukrainian military, which is dug in, outgunned and outnumbered.
The country desperately needs more troops and they need more ammunition at a time when doubts about the supply of Western aid are increasing.
https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-parliament-recruit-army-russia-war-5b7d9f58bb398b4ad1296311b8130b92
Emrys
(7,944 posts)Unpredictable, it certainly wasn't, much as any sane person might wish it hadn't been necessary.
Ukraine has had a clearly set out plan for phased mobilization for a number of years. You can read about it here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mobilization_in_Ukraine
Ukraine has been understandably reluctant to enlist its younger generational cohort (along with those who have multiple children and other contraindicationg factors) to add to the toll on its demographics that Putin's aggression has brought about.
Much has been made by various media and Putin propagandists for the last year or so of the rising average age of Ukrainian fighters. Part of the reason for that is because the earlier phases of mobilization concentrated on those who were older and had military experience.
Beyond the lurid headlines, this is a matter of cold assessment and allocation of human resources. As Cornell University observed:
Large industrial wars like this one are as much about organization as they are about fighting, and this is a sign that Ukraine takes that lesson seriously.
https://as.cornell.edu/news/ukraines-mobilization-bill-sign-desperation-and-rationalization
As a matter of perspective, the lower age for conscription in Ukraine is now 25, reduced from 27. In the Vietnam War, the lower limit was 18, though younger men did serve and die, and the average age of US troops was something over 22 (not 19, as the myth would have it), men were eligible for the draft until age 35, and the average age of combatants in the Second World War was 26.
More concerning is that the new moves counter the previous plans for rotation of troops after serving for certain periods at the front. That will obviously take a toll on morale and stamina.
It should not be ignored that the current phase of mobilization might not have been necessary without the stonewalling from the Trumpite wing of the Republicans.