Keep an eye on 30 year US Treasury Bond Auctions

[Best_man23]

The Convicted Felon's Junta and behavior of same may dampen interest in US long term treasury bonds.

I think the next auction is in early March.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

1. Despite inflation fears, the 2 yr and 10 yr rates have been going down. I don't know what it means. . . . nt

[progree]

2. This long article explains it --

Treasury Yields Slide as Confidence Gauge Stokes Economy Fears, Bloomberg via Yahoo News (no paywall), Feb 25, 2025
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/treasuries-rally-traders-boost-bets-091904370.html

This paragraph kinda summarizes it --

“The narrative shifted on Monday, from ‘the new US administration isn’t yet delivering on our pro-growth expectations’ to ‘US policies may be starting to cause real economic damage.’ ... That’s why US 10-year yields are at their lowest level in more than two months and likely to head a chunk lower again over the coming weeks.”
— Mark Cudmore, MLIV Executive Editor, Singapore

ETA- when bond yields go down, bond prices go up. So I'm enjoying a mini-recovery in my intermediate bond fund holdings from devastating losses in purchasing power over the last 3+ years.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

4. Thanks. That helped. . . . . nt

[58Sunliner]

3. I am too afraid to commit to anything other than short term tbills.

I am looking into euro bonds. I feel like my money is at risk with these people in charge. I'd like to move it to an easy to access foreign acct. I just hate to act out of fear. That usually doesn't go well for me.

[A HERETIC I AM]

5. The next Auction date for the 30 year is March 13th

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/221/Tentative-Auction-Schedule.pdf

You can also find auction information on the TreasuryDirect website;

https://www.treasurydirect.gov/auctions/

Signs the market for them is shrinking would be a spike in coupon rates and yields. If there are fewer buyers, the market will force prices down and therefore yields will go up.