Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
Editorials & Other Articles
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forum538~Clinton's crushing it tonight. Democrats want this thing to be over with. (HRC GP)
NATE SILVER 11:34 PM
Democrats Want This Thing To Be Over
Clintons margins tonight are toward the high end of expectations, with the possible exception of New Mexico, where she won but by a slightly smaller margin than we would have projected. But in New Jersey and South Dakota and in the early returns from Montana and (more importantly) California shes doing very, very well.
There are more votes left to be counted. But it reminds me of the stretch of states that Trump had in April, where Republican voters suddenly began voting for Trump by large majorities after never having given him more than 50 percent of the vote before. That may have been because Republicans wanted to avert a contested convention and were sick of arguments over process.
Democrats may be reacting similarly, rejecting Sanderss insinuations that the system is rigged against him, and giving Clinton, the candidate who has won far more votes and elected delegates, a more emphatic majority. Clinton has her largest lead in national polls since February, won in a landslide in Puerto Rico over the weekend, and is having somewhere between a very good and an outstanding night tonight, depending on how the rest of the vote in Montana and California goes.
Democrats Want This Thing To Be Over
Clintons margins tonight are toward the high end of expectations, with the possible exception of New Mexico, where she won but by a slightly smaller margin than we would have projected. But in New Jersey and South Dakota and in the early returns from Montana and (more importantly) California shes doing very, very well.
There are more votes left to be counted. But it reminds me of the stretch of states that Trump had in April, where Republican voters suddenly began voting for Trump by large majorities after never having given him more than 50 percent of the vote before. That may have been because Republicans wanted to avert a contested convention and were sick of arguments over process.
Democrats may be reacting similarly, rejecting Sanderss insinuations that the system is rigged against him, and giving Clinton, the candidate who has won far more votes and elected delegates, a more emphatic majority. Clinton has her largest lead in national polls since February, won in a landslide in Puerto Rico over the weekend, and is having somewhere between a very good and an outstanding night tonight, depending on how the rest of the vote in Montana and California goes.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/740387265617219584
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/june-7-new-jersey-california-primary-presidential-election-2016/?#livepress-update-23672723
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
3 replies, 1267 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (13)
ReplyReply to this post
3 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
538~Clinton's crushing it tonight. Democrats want this thing to be over with. (HRC GP) (Original Post)
Her Sister
Jun 2016
OP
BootinUp
(49,036 posts)1. Thank the voting gods. nt
Tarheel_Dem
(31,443 posts)2. Yup! South Dakota just called for Hillary by MSNBC!
sheshe2
(87,530 posts)3. The people have spoken.