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Hillary Clinton
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California starts now!! Right! (Original Post)
Her Sister
Jun 2016
OP
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)1. GOGOGOGO Hillary!!!
spooky3
(36,212 posts)2. Nate Cohn says:
"The polls have closed in California, and I have to warn you that this could take a while. Clinton is expected to have a big lead in the early vote, and then we wait. If this is close, the call might not come for a while: 75 percent of the vote might not be counted by tomorrow at noon Eastern."
http://www.nytimes.com/live/california-new-jersey-clinton-sanders/
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)4. Yes makes sense! I had heard that earlier
That if not real obvious who's winning then it could take days! Plus mail ins are arriving in the following days!
Hekate
(94,694 posts)3. First results in are outstanding! 68 to 32% ?
But there's tons out there drifting in from mail-in voters.
Still!
savalez
(3,517 posts)5. Interesting
DAVID WASSERMAN 11:03 PM
Beware The Order Of California Returns
As polls close and we start getting results in the Golden State, remember that its wise not to get carried away by the very first numbers you see. According to top watchers in California, counties will generally report votes in the following order: 1) early mailed-in absentee votes 2) election day votes and 3) late mailed-in absentee votes.
According to Political Datas Paul Mitchell, 69 percent of the 2.7 million early absentee votes mailed in for all primary races were from voters over 55 years old. That likely means the first batches of votes reported will be Clintons best. The next batches the Election Day votes could be Sanderss best, and the late absentees could be somewhere in between.
So, dont be surprised if we see the margin see-saw quite a bit over the course of the night. My hunch is that Clinton will prevail, but if its a close finish, remember that late absentees could take a long time to count.
fivethirtyeight.com
Beware The Order Of California Returns
As polls close and we start getting results in the Golden State, remember that its wise not to get carried away by the very first numbers you see. According to top watchers in California, counties will generally report votes in the following order: 1) early mailed-in absentee votes 2) election day votes and 3) late mailed-in absentee votes.
According to Political Datas Paul Mitchell, 69 percent of the 2.7 million early absentee votes mailed in for all primary races were from voters over 55 years old. That likely means the first batches of votes reported will be Clintons best. The next batches the Election Day votes could be Sanderss best, and the late absentees could be somewhere in between.
So, dont be surprised if we see the margin see-saw quite a bit over the course of the night. My hunch is that Clinton will prevail, but if its a close finish, remember that late absentees could take a long time to count.
fivethirtyeight.com