Who would win the 2024 MD US Senate Election if
Ben Cardin decides not to seek re-election and the Democratic nominee is Anthony Brown and the Republican nominee is Larry Hogan.
The 2024 MD US Senate Election between Brown-D and Hogan-R will be similar to the 2012 HI US Senate Election between Hirono-D and Lingle-R.
HI
2002 Lt Governor Mazie Hirono-D narrowly lost the 2002 HI Governors Election to Linda Lingle-R.
2006 Hirono-D gets elected to the US House. Lingle wins re-election to the HI Governorship.
2012- Hirono-D defeats Lingle-R in the 2012 HI US Senate Election by a landslide margin.
MD
2014 Lt Governor Anthony Brown-D narrowly loses the 2014 MD Governors Election to Larry Hogan.
2016 Anthony Brown gets elected to the US House.
2018 Larry Hogan gets re-elected to the MD Governorship.