We are waiting for Sununu(R-NH) and Johnson(R-WI) to make a decision on 2022 US Senate runs.

[nkpolitics1212]

If Sununu and Johnson decide to run, NH and WI will be in the Lean R column.
If Sununu and Johnson decide not to run, NH and WI will be in the Lean D column.
If Sununu does not run in NH, Republicans will have to settle with Ayotte-R.
If Johnson does not run in WI, Republicans will have to settle with Steil-R or Gallagher-R

Democrats will end up with at least 49 seats.
37)CA(Padilla-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D) if Leahy retires, Republicans will need Phil Scott to reconsider or else VT is lost cause for Republicans.
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)IL(Duckworth-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50) Democrats will need to win GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R) in 11/2022 or in 1/2023. or
50/51)NH(Hassan-D)
50/51/52)WI(Barnes-D)

[ColinC]

1. Johnson has a negative approval rating. 52% said they would vote for somebody else.

In the last poll... Also he has been incredibly pro Trump in a state that has not been incredibly pro Trump. Hopefully voters know better if he does actually decide to run again.

[nkpolitics1212]

2. WI(Johnson-R or no Johnson-R) will be the Democrats 50th US Senate seat.

[ColinC]

3. Oof next year could be tough

Hopefully we see the political environment dramatically improve. Really wanna see Warnock win in a landslide next year (doubtful of course, but not entirely impossible).