Democrats will at least have a net gain of 0 seats in the US Senate in 2022. Here is why.
2 Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 has a potential to flip.
NH(Hassan-D) if and only if Sununu-R runs. There is a 50-50 percent chance Sununu-R runs.
Hassan-D vs Sununu-R race is a pure Tossup.
GA(Warnock-D) if the election is to be decided in the 1/2023 runoff. Democratic voter turnout is key.
Democrats will hold onto AZ(Kelly-D),CO(Bennet-D),NV(Cortez Masto-D),etc.
2 Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2022 is likely to flip.
PA(OPEN Toomey-R) Democrats have a top tier frontrunner- Lt Governor John Fetterman.
There is no front runner on the Republican side.
WI(Johnson-R)- Democrats have a top tier frontrunner- Treasurer Sarah Godlewski-D.
Johnson-R is unpopular.
PA is 100% likely to flip on the Republican side.
NH is 50% likely to flip on the Democratic side if Sununu-R becomes the Republican side.
GA and WI are both 50% likely to flip.