The most vulnerable US Senate seat in 2026 and 2028.
2026
NC(Tillis-R) Democrats have Cooper,Nickel,and Jackson. If Nickel and Jackson were to lose their US House seats in 2024 because of Republican gerrymandering, They have an opportunity to run for the US Senate.
GA(Ossoff-D) The Republican frontrunner is MTG. GA Republican statewide elected officials Kemp,Duncan,and Raffensperger have angered the MAGA base. Jones is an unindicted co conspirator in Georgia v Trump. Carr is most likely to run for Governor.
ME(Collins-R) if Golden runs.
VA(Warner-D) if Youngkin-R runs.
MI(Peters-D),MN(Smith-D) and NM(Lujan-D) are less vulnerable than expected. Republican bench in MI,MN,and NM is weak.
2028
WI(Johnson-R) Lt Governor Rodriguez, Secretary of State Godlewski,Attorney General Kaul, or Alex Lasry.
NC(Budd-R) Nickel or Jackson.
OH(Vance-R) Landsman or Sykes.
NV(Cortez Masto-D) If Governor Lombardo were to run for the US Senate, it will be in 2030 against Rosen when his 2nd gubernatorial term ends. Lombardo loses re-election to the NV Governorship in 2026 to Attorney General Aaron Ford.
GA(Warnock-D) MTG.
AZ(Kelly-D) and PA(Fetterman-D) are less vulnerable than expected.