Which 2024 Democratic US Senate Nominee is going to win by a wider margin? Brown(OH) or Tester(MT)
Brown(OH) won his US Senate Races by
12 percent in 2006,
6 percent in 2012,
7 percent in 2018.
Tester(MT) won his US Senate Races by
1 percent in 2006
4 percent in 2012
4 percent in 2018.
In 2016,
Trump won MT by a 20.42 percent margin.
Trump won OH by a 8.13 percent margin.
In 2020
Trump won MT by a 16.37 percent margin.
Trump won OH by a 8.03 percent margin.
Trump’s margin of victory in MT decreased by 4.05 percent from 2016 to 2020 compared to OH which decreased by .1 percent.
I expect both Brown(OH) and Tester(MT) to win by a 5 percent margin.
CA(Schiff-D or Porter-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/D)
MD(Alsobrooks-D)
MA(Warren-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
DE(Blunt Rochester-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I/D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Cantwell-D)
PA(Casey-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)