Democrats are likely to have a net gain of US Senate seats in 2026.

[nkpolitics1212]

Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2026 from vulnerable to safe.
GA(Ossoff-D) if Kemp-R is the Republican nominee.
VA(Warner-D) if Youngkin-R is the Republican nominee.
MI(Peters-D)
NH(Shaheen-D/Pappas-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D/Polis-D/Neguse-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
IL(Durbin-D/Underwood-D)
DE(Coons-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
RI(Reed-D/Magaziner-D)
MA(Markey-D/Pressley-D)
Democrats are favored to win all of these seats.

Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2026 that Democrats have a chance.
ME(Collins-R) vs Golden-D
NC(Tillis-R) vs Jackson-D

2024
Democrats will hold onto
CA(Schiff-D)
HI(Hirono-D)
VT(Sanders-I/Balint-D)
MD(Cardin-D/Sarbanes-D)
NY(Gillibrand-D)
MA(Warren-D)
RI(Whitehouse-D)
MN(Klobuchar-D)
CT(Murphy-D)
DE(Carper-D/Blunt Rochester-D/Carney-D)
WA(Cantwell-D)
NM(Heinrich-D)
ME(King-I)
NJ(Menendez-D)
VA(Kaine-D)
PA(Casey-D)
NV(Rosen-D)
WI(Baldwin-D)
MI(Slotkin-D)
AZ(Gallego-D)
OH(Brown-D)
MT(Tester-D)
WV(Manchin-D)

[Mike Nelson]

1. Yay!

... I read Youngkin was looking grand in VA and Manchin was finally going down to Republicans in WV. Also, that the "Senate map" was not good for Democrats... this looks much better!

[nkpolitics1212]

4. The 2026 map is more favorable to Democrats than the 2024 map.

2024
3 Red state Democratic held US Senate seats.
WV(Manchin-D)
MT(Tester-D)
OH(Brown-D)

Battleground states the Democrats will win.
AZ(Gallego-D) Republican nominee will be Lake-R or Masters.
MI(Slotkin-D) Republicans will nominate a PRO-MAGA candidate.
NV(Rosen-D) Republicans will nominate a PRO-MAGA candidate.
PA(Casey-D) Republicans will nominate a PRO-MAGA candidate.
VA(Kaine-D) Youngkin-R sits out on this race.
WI(Baldwin-D).

2026.
GA(Ossoff-D) GA Democrats will breathe a lot easier if Marjorie Taylor Greene is the Republican nominee. The race will be in a Tossup/Tilt Democratic candidate if Brian Kemp is the Republican nominee.
VA(Warner-D) wins against Youngkin-R.
MI(Peters-D) Does John James-R run for the US House to get back the seat he lost or run for the US Senate? Peters-D will defeat other Republican candidates as well.
NH(Shaheen-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NM(Lujan-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D)
Republican bench in NH,MN,NM,and CO is weak.
Democrats will definitely win OR,IL,DE,NJ,RI,and MA.

[gab13by13]

2. So what about 2028 and 2030?

Did they cancel the 2024 election?

[nkpolitics1212]

3. The Democratic held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2028 from safe to vulnerable are-

HI(Schatz-D)
VT(Welch-D)
MD(Van Hollen-D)
CA(Padilla-D)
CT(Blumenthal-D/Hayes-D).
IL(Duckworth-D)
NY(Schumer-D/AOC)
OR(Wyden-D/Fagan-D)
CO(Bennett-D) The Republican bench is very weak.
WA(Murray-D/Jayapal-D)
NH(Hassan-D) The Republican bench is very weak.
AZ(Kelly-D)
PA(Fetterman-D)
NV(Cortez Masto-D)
GA(Warnock-D) The Republican nominee will be MTG.
All of the Democratic held US Senate up for re-election in 2028 will remain in the Democratic column.
Republican held US Senate seats up for re-election in 2028 that Democrats can pick up.
WI(Johnson-R) vs Kaul-D
NC(Budd-R) vs Nickel-D