US Senate seats up in 2022 that Democrats and Republicans will win by a single digit margin.

[nkpolitics1212]

Democrats will win by a likely margin.
CO(Bennet-D)
WA(Murray-D)
Republicans will win by a likely margin.
FL(Rubio-R)
IA(Grassley-R).
Democrats will win by a lean margin
AZ(Kelly-D)
NH(Hassan-D)
Republican will win by a lean margin.
NC(Budd-R)
OH(Vance-R)
WI(Johnson-R)
The Tossup US Senate Races are
GA(Warnock-D vs Walker-R)
NV(Cortez Masto-D vs Laxalt-R)
PA(Fetterman-D vs Oz-R).

Democrats will win PA.
Republicans will win NV.
GA will go either way and it will be decided on 12/6/2022.

[DFW]

1. This is a far more pessimistic assessment than recent ones

If this plays out, then Georgia decides control of the Senate—not a comforting thought. I still hope for a better outcome in WI, OH, and NV. IA, FL, and NC are unlikely long shots, but not completely impossible.

[Sienna86]

2. Not sure Grassley will win Iowa.

We shall see. Also think Barnes will win Wisconsin.