UK Vote of No Confidence - Joe Blogs

[TexasTowelie]

Labour collapsing to third place in Gorton & Denton is a shock result — but this wasn’t just a vote of no confidence in Labour.

This by-election highlights a much broader shift in UK politics.

The Conservatives were almost wiped out, the Liberal Democrats failed to gain traction, and while Reform UK surged into second place, they still couldn’t convert that momentum into a win. Instead, voters turned to the Green Party — a party that, until recently, held just a single seat in Parliament.

What makes this result even more significant is that turnout barely changed compared to the 2024 General Election. Voters didn’t stay at home — they actively switched away from the traditional parties.

This suggests something deeper is happening.

There is growing dissatisfaction across the political spectrum, with voters rejecting not just Labour, but the established political system as a whole. At the same time, this result raises questions about whether Reform UK can truly break through and win seats, or whether voters are still hesitant to fully back them.

In this video, I break down:
• The full results and vote swings
• Why Labour’s vote collapsed
• Why Reform couldn’t win despite strong momentum
• Why the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats were squeezed out
• Why voters turned to the Green Party instead
• What this means for the future of UK politics

Is this a one-off protest vote — or a sign that UK politics is entering a new phase?

Chapters:
0:00 Intro
0:36 2024
4:26 RESULTS
8:18 GWYNNE
9:20 BURNHAM
10:50 SWING
14:32 SEATS
15:33 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION

[mwooldri]

1. Whole load of things here, but mostly protest vote.

Note I haven't watched the video.

In 2024 the results were Labour 18.5k, Reform 5.1k, Green 4.8k. This is a new constituency but the Greens have been on the rise in this area for quite some time. The area has a lot of young people and also people with a lower level of education.

Reform do have a populist message so that's why they resonated well. However the tactical votes didn't help the LibDems any because any LibDems would vote Green to keep Reform out. Hardline Tories probably defected to Reform. But the biggest thing was pissed off Labour voters wanting to send a message so they voted for their 2nd choice candidate and the one most likely to win. The Greens.

But my happy dance is for Sir Oinks-a-lot. 6th place in a 11 candidate election. More than Advance UK (Reform on steroids). Proving once and for all that voting Loony makes sense.