Vanity Fair article on Tim Ryan

[irisblue]

source-https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/07/tim-ryan-democratic-playbook-ohio
Way more there

snip-"While running as a Blue Dog–style Democrat who gets along with Fox News hosts may seem like an antiquated strategy in 2022, Ryan, a onetime presidential candidate, has taken painstaking steps to portray himself as a political maverick disconnected from the economic crises currently plaguing the ruling party. He has frequently condemned trade deals signed by Democratic presidents, which he blames for allowing China to steal manufacturing jobs from the Rust Belt, and has voiced support for Trump’s “America First” economic policies in two ads. “When Obama’s trade deal threatened jobs here, I voted against it. And I voted with Trump on trade,” Ryan says in one of the ads. “I don’t answer to any political party.” In other campaign ads, the 10-term Democratic lawmaker stressed the need to pass “a real tax cut for workers” and expressed his steadfast support for police."

snip-" In fact, Ryan’s stances on working-class issues often overlap with those of Vance, who has urged U.S. leaders to “stop being weak on China. We have to stop sending American jobs to people who hate us.” Like Ryan, Vance, a “New Right” candidate endorsed by Trump in the primary, argues in his campaign platform that “Working class Ohioans were left in the dust” by trade deals that allowed companies to move their manufacturing facilities to China.

Mike Hartley, a Republican political consultant based in Ohio, said that Ryan is doing what he has to do in a cycle that will likely be a particularly tough off-year for Democrats. “The one thing candidates can’t control in a race is the national political environment,” Hartley told Vanity Fair, noting soaring inflation rates. “You can run a perfect campaign and still lose if the wind is in your face.” While remarking on some of Ryan’s novel strategies, like voicing support for Trump’s trade policies and boosting praise from Fox hosts, Hartley said that “it’s very clear he’s trying to win back the working class,” but noted that will be a difficult task, as large swaths of Ohio voters have switched to the Republican Party in recent years."

snip-" The latest poll commissioned by Ryan's campaign indicates that the contest is in a deadlock, with 48% of respondents supporting Ryan and 46% supporting Vance."

[Wuddles440]

1. Even more...

concerning because while Ryan has been pounding the airwaves, Vance has not yet really begun his ad campaign (at least in the NEO market).

[irisblue]

2. I haven't had tv or cable since 2017, I do not see those commercials, & for that I am glad

[Wuddles440]

4. I wish I had your...

strength. I'm a news junkie and can't seem to ween myself off of this dependency.

[Lovie777]

3. It appears he has a shot of winning .....

[Diamond_Dog]

5. I think Tim is doing what he has to do

To flip a senate seat in a very red state. And I am not accusing him of being dishonest, far from it.
I think he’s running a very smart campaign. The polls are proof.

I, too, wonder why we have heard crickets from Vance. Not that I’m complaining. I thought he was getting millions of $ from Theil?

[2naSalit]

7. +1

I hope he wins easily. He is one of the "kind" we need in the Senate.

[mtngirl47]

6. All politics is local

Tipp O’Neill, James Carville, et al.

[rustbeltvoice]

8. He is from Youngstown

The eastern counties of Ohio on the Penn. line were Democratic. Ohio has 88 counties, a Democrat has won Ohio with about a dozen counties. The smokestack industries ran with unionised labor. Much of that is gone, and there is anger left behind. Ryan has long been ambitious, and he sees that he needs this demographic to get a majority.

Ryan is an handsome candidate with charisma, Vance is not. Vance is an arrogant capitalist who has been playing up to white evangelicals. Ryan can win in old Ohio; if Ohio is eastern Indiana, or a southern state--he loses.