'As Long as the Party Embraces Trump, It's Going to Have Trouble'

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The Republican collapse in Michigan’s Oakland County, once a stronghold, was a long time coming. Is losing these suburbs a warning light for Trumpism?

By ZACK STANTON
06/18/2021

In the aftermath of the 2020 election, the Republican National Committee opted not to order an autopsy into what exactly led to the party’s decline in suburban communities that were, until recently, considered deep red.

But if RNC Chair Ronna Romney McDaniel wanted to understand what happened, she could do worse than to look back at the place she was raised: Oakland County, Michigan.

“Oakland County was kind of the quintessential suburban Republican stronghold over the postwar period,” says Jeff Timmer, a longtime GOP strategist who was executive director of the state party from 2005-2009. It was (and is) a huge source of campaign donations for the party and its candidates. It had massive influence in Lansing, and an influential bipartisan delegation in Washington. It was a must-visit locale for every aspiring Republican presidential candidate.

“When I ran the Michigan Republican Party, we always pointed to Oakland: ‘These guys have got their shit together,’” says Timmer.

To put it bluntly, the shit is no longer together.

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https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2021/06/18/biden-republican-voters-oakland-county-michigan-suburbs-494983

[Blue Owl]

1. Dems need to strike while the iron is hot

The GOP is a hot mess as long as Donny, Mitch, and rest of the motley crew are all fighting amongst themselves -- time to drive in some wedges, then divide and conquer!!!

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2. If the GQP has indeed lost Oakland County, there's no way that they will ever take Michigan again

and they have to know that. The rest of the state won't make up the deficit. Not enough people. And Kent County, the largest GQP county in the west Michigan Dutch Mafia/Bible Belt (includes Grand Rapids) and reliably conservative, went blue in 2020.