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progressoid

(50,748 posts)
Tue May 1, 2018, 07:14 PM May 2018

Five Races Where Democrats Could Score Shocking Upsets (IA 4th)


Michigan’s First...

Wisconsin’s Sixth...

Iowa’s Fourth


Democrat J.D. Scholten: $271,000
Republican incumbent Steve King: $76,000


I’m lumping these three districts together for a few reasons:

Democrats Not Named Hillary Clinton Can Win in These Districts. In 2008, Barack Obama won Wisconsin’s Sixth and Michigan’s First while only losing Iowa’s Fourth by 2 percent. And in the past year Democrats have run well ahead of Hillary Clinton’s margins in elections in every one of these districts. They all still lean Republican in even the best of conditions but…

Their Incumbents Are Weak. Steve King has been aping talking points from The Turner Diaries for decades, but he’s gotten worse since Trump is elected. Western Iowa is socially conservative, but I suspect a majority of them voted for King out of party loyalty and at the very least tune him out when he starts going on about how great European ethno-nationalists are. Maybe, just maybe, 2018 will be the year where they’re finally embarrassed enough to send him packing now that our big wet president has brought the ugliness of the far right so neatly into focus.

...https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/7xdnxy/five-2018-races-where-democrats-could-score-shocking-upsets



Maybe, just maybe...

https://www.scholten4iowa.com/
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Five Races Where Democrats Could Score Shocking Upsets (IA 4th) (Original Post) progressoid May 2018 OP
Please, oh Please, oh please leftieNanner May 2018 #1
I think Iowa 01 is a lean dam right now and Iowa 03 may be a toss up rurallib May 2018 #2
I'm kind of shocked that King only has 76K cash on hand. progressoid May 2018 #3
Yeah we need Rod Blum out bad. 47of74 May 2018 #4

rurallib

(63,201 posts)
2. I think Iowa 01 is a lean dam right now and Iowa 03 may be a toss up
Tue May 1, 2018, 07:47 PM
May 2018

Taking King out would be sweet.
Giving Loebsack some colleagues would be wonderful.

progressoid

(50,748 posts)
3. I'm kind of shocked that King only has 76K cash on hand.
Wed May 2, 2018, 05:42 AM
May 2018

I just went to open secrets to confirm. $76,034.00
https://www.opensecrets.org/members-of-congress/summary?cid=N00025237


District 3 is looking tight but Young is a slippery one. And he has a shit ton of money.

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