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ificandream

(10,536 posts)
Fri Nov 3, 2023, 11:02 PM Nov 2023

Porter and Schiff polling neck and neck in California Senate race, in lead for a runoff

BY BENJAMIN ORESKES
STAFF WRITER/LOS ANGELES TIMES

Reps. Adam B. Schiff and Katie Porter are in nearly a dead heat in California’s U.S. Senate race, well-positioned to move ahead to a runoff, a new poll shows.

The two well-funded House Democrats have been pacing the field since the beginning of the year. Other candidates, including fellow Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee and Republican former baseball star Steve Garvey, have so far not shown an ability to make the race more broadly competitive.

Porter, of Irvine, holds 17% support among voters likely to cast ballots in the March primary, and Schiff, of Burbank, is at 16%, in the latest UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll, co-sponsored by The Times. Garvey comes in at 10% and Lee, of Oakland, has 9% of the vote, the poll found.

The poll standings represent a slight improvement in support for Lee and Garvey since the last Berkeley IGS poll, in August, while support for Schiff has declined slightly. But the shifts are all close to the poll’s margin of error, and none have changed the overall shape of the race. About 3 in 10 likely voters remain undecided.

Read more: https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2023-11-03/porter-schiff-runoff-california-senate-election-poll

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Porter and Schiff polling neck and neck in California Senate race, in lead for a runoff (Original Post) ificandream Nov 2023 OP
All three visited us in Santa Cruz, Barbara visited last... CoopersDad Nov 2023 #1
Friday's poll quaint Nov 2023 #2
I don't know which of the two I would vote for. 3Hotdogs Nov 2023 #3
I'm extremely opinionated but have changed my mind a dozen times. quaint Nov 2023 #4
LA Times, we don't have "runoffs" here Retrograde Nov 2023 #5

CoopersDad

(2,886 posts)
1. All three visited us in Santa Cruz, Barbara visited last...
Fri Nov 3, 2023, 11:15 PM
Nov 2023

... many of us ended up loving her best after meeting her in person.

They're all great, each has different strengths.

quaint

(3,570 posts)
2. Friday's poll
Sat Nov 4, 2023, 08:14 AM
Nov 2023
https://ktla.com/news/new-poll-shows-porter-leading-schiff-in-u-s-senate-race-steve-garvey-3rd/

The poll, which was released on Friday, shows that Rep. Porter has a slight edge over Rep. Schiff, 17% to 16%, among likely voters. In August, Schiff was at 20%.



The poll was administered online in English and Spanish between October 24 and October 30 among 6,342 California registered voters, including a weighted subsample of 4,506 likely voters.

quaint

(3,570 posts)
4. I'm extremely opinionated but have changed my mind a dozen times.
Sat Nov 4, 2023, 11:29 AM
Nov 2023

Many in Porter's district are upset that she is abandoning them. On the other hand, it's iffy the district would stay Blue even if she ran again, but less chance without her. Rumor that Porter had a bizarre encounter with Senator Feinstein (who had said she would decide about running again in '24) and that is why she decided to run for that seat.

Some feel Schiff was phoning it in until the J6 committee and doesn't deserve promotion.

I have reasons (some petty) for not supporting the others. Today, I'm leaning to Porter.

Retrograde

(10,661 posts)
5. LA Times, we don't have "runoffs" here
Sat Nov 4, 2023, 09:25 PM
Nov 2023

the top two vote-getters in the primary will be on the November 2024 ballot, regardless of party. The result may be superficially the same, but there's always a chance that Schiff and Porter will split the Democratic vote and allow a Republican (or other) to get on the general ballot.

Plus, there will be two senate races on next year's ballot - one to fill the remainder of Feinstein's term (that's the seat Butler holds now) and one for the full 6 year term.

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