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JonLP24

(29,348 posts)
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 10:58 PM Nov 2020

Do you think Biden will win Arizona?

I think he will based on how poorly Trump is doing with suburban voters which are key in Maricopa County. Hillary Clinton did better than Obama in terms of Trump winning by a smaller margin than Romney. Also Biden has consistent lead in the polls though many of them are within the margin of error. There are rare polls with Trump in the lead. I think Arizona is trending blue.

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Do you think Biden will win Arizona? (Original Post) JonLP24 Nov 2020 OP
I hope you're right! Nt spooky3 Nov 2020 #1
I think he will. DonaldsRump Nov 2020 #2
Yes, I think he will. dchill Nov 2020 #3
YES AlexSFCA Nov 2020 #4
There's a rapid change coming. Eyeball_Kid Nov 2020 #5
This! Dream Girl Nov 2020 #7
Could be. My formerly very red far west valley marybourg Nov 2020 #6
I do... dhill926 Nov 2020 #8
We're turning Arizona blue come Tuesday sortasvenska7 Nov 2020 #9
Blue, Baby! Desert_Leslie Nov 2020 #10
No. Mosby Nov 2020 #11

AlexSFCA

(6,270 posts)
4. YES
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 11:03 PM
Nov 2020

no voter suppression in the state, demographics are more favorable to dems in 2020 than in 2016 and the turnout is expected to be much higher, all good signs for Biden. IMO, AZ should be an easier win for Biden than NC.

Eyeball_Kid

(7,572 posts)
5. There's a rapid change coming.
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 11:12 PM
Nov 2020

Trump's militias are making a real mess. People ARE getting pissed. This bridge blocking and harassment of Dems is something that no Republican HAS to like. It's a real tactical mistake on Trump's part. These very disturbing events are happening at just the wrong time, two days before election day-- time enough for the nation to absorb what's happening and react with disgust.

A madman has the seat of power.

sortasvenska7

(19 posts)
9. We're turning Arizona blue come Tuesday
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 02:41 AM
Nov 2020

Between the changing demographics of this state and covid-19, it’s a one two punch that I don’t think Trump can recover from and with McSally tying herself to Trump’s fortunes as well, I believe both will suffer defeat here in Arizona. Many Republicans and registered Independents are voting for Biden simply because of Trump’s lack of leadership and cogent plan for Covid-19. And at the state level, we only need to pick up 2 seats in the House and 3 in the Senate to wrest control from the Republicans! We are firmly a purple state and hopefully Tuesday we will turn Arizona blue!

Desert_Leslie

(131 posts)
10. Blue, Baby!
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 08:38 AM
Nov 2020

If I were a wavering AZ GOP voter, these head-shaking actions on the part of the Trump/GOP might well decide me to vote for Biden:

Trump threatens to fire Dr. Fauci

After dire warnings of Democrat lawlessness ... Trumpers try to run a bus off a road and close off highways with their pickup truck mobs.

[Last Saturday I ran into a large group of pickup truck Trumpers on Highway 101 in Scottsdale. They were doing about 25 miles an hour in the fast lane. Traffic hazard for other drivers? YOU BET.]

This stuff won't change the minds of hard-core folks, but it might influence suburban women.

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