Arizona
Related: About this forumDo you think Biden will win Arizona?
I think he will based on how poorly Trump is doing with suburban voters which are key in Maricopa County. Hillary Clinton did better than Obama in terms of Trump winning by a smaller margin than Romney. Also Biden has consistent lead in the polls though many of them are within the margin of error. There are rare polls with Trump in the lead. I think Arizona is trending blue.
spooky3
(36,204 posts)DonaldsRump
(7,715 posts)dchill
(40,474 posts)Shifting demographics and Trumpublican assholes made it likely.
no voter suppression in the state, demographics are more favorable to dems in 2020 than in 2016 and the turnout is expected to be much higher, all good signs for Biden. IMO, AZ should be an easier win for Biden than NC.
Eyeball_Kid
(7,572 posts)Trump's militias are making a real mess. People ARE getting pissed. This bridge blocking and harassment of Dems is something that no Republican HAS to like. It's a real tactical mistake on Trump's part. These very disturbing events are happening at just the wrong time, two days before election day-- time enough for the nation to absorb what's happening and react with disgust.
A madman has the seat of power.
Dream Girl
(5,111 posts)marybourg
(13,181 posts)active senior community is now only pink.
dhill926
(16,953 posts)sortasvenska7
(19 posts)Between the changing demographics of this state and covid-19, its a one two punch that I dont think Trump can recover from and with McSally tying herself to Trumps fortunes as well, I believe both will suffer defeat here in Arizona. Many Republicans and registered Independents are voting for Biden simply because of Trumps lack of leadership and cogent plan for Covid-19. And at the state level, we only need to pick up 2 seats in the House and 3 in the Senate to wrest control from the Republicans! We are firmly a purple state and hopefully Tuesday we will turn Arizona blue!
Desert_Leslie
(131 posts)If I were a wavering AZ GOP voter, these head-shaking actions on the part of the Trump/GOP might well decide me to vote for Biden:
Trump threatens to fire Dr. Fauci
After dire warnings of Democrat lawlessness ... Trumpers try to run a bus off a road and close off highways with their pickup truck mobs.
[Last Saturday I ran into a large group of pickup truck Trumpers on Highway 101 in Scottsdale. They were doing about 25 miles an hour in the fast lane. Traffic hazard for other drivers? YOU BET.]
This stuff won't change the minds of hard-core folks, but it might influence suburban women.