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AZ likely to suffer worst Census undercount, lose congressional seat, if citizenship question added
A new estimate shows Arizona’s total population could see an undercount of nearly 5% if a controversial citizenship question is added to the 2020 Census – and potentially miss out on adding a congressional seat and Electoral College vote.
That’s according to a study from Harvard University’s Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy, which The Washington Post compiled in state-by-state estimates.
The study surveyed about 9,000 Hispanic and non-Hispanic people with a form matching the one used by the U.S. Census Bureau and asked half of them, “Is this person a citizen of the United States?”
“We find that asking about citizenship status significantly increases the percent of questions skipped, with particularly strong effects among Hispanics, and makes respondents less likely to report having Hispanic household members,” the study concludes.
It estimated that ”asking a citizenship question may lead to an undercounting of Hispanics of between 5,761,284 and 6,382,820 in the 2020 Census.”
https://www.azmirror.com/blog/study-az-likely-to-suffer-worst-census-undercount-lose-congressional-seat-if-citizenship-question-addedThat’s according to a study from Harvard University’s Shorenstein Center on Media, Politics and Public Policy, which The Washington Post compiled in state-by-state estimates.
The study surveyed about 9,000 Hispanic and non-Hispanic people with a form matching the one used by the U.S. Census Bureau and asked half of them, “Is this person a citizen of the United States?”
“We find that asking about citizenship status significantly increases the percent of questions skipped, with particularly strong effects among Hispanics, and makes respondents less likely to report having Hispanic household members,” the study concludes.
It estimated that ”asking a citizenship question may lead to an undercounting of Hispanics of between 5,761,284 and 6,382,820 in the 2020 Census.”