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Blaukraut

(5,908 posts)
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:01 AM Nov 7

The Harris campaign got caught in a global ant- incumbent election wave

There wasn't a whole lot they could have done differently to change the trajectory of the race. This was all about 'throw the bums out'. Might we have had a different outcome if Biden had declined to run again? I am starting to wonder about that.


https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/383208/donald-trump-victory-kamala-harris-global-trend-incumbents


President-elect Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 election was powered by a remarkably consistent nationwide trend of voters turning against the Democratic ticket. Vice President Kamala Harris performed worse than President Joe Biden did in 2020 nearly everywhere: in big cities and rural areas, in blue states and red ones.

Most of the conventional explanations for why a campaign fails — things like messaging choices, or whether candidates campaigned enough in the right places — cannot account for such a sweeping shift. Such factors matter on the margins and among specific demographic groups, but Harris received a decisive, across-the-board rebuke.

To explain what truly happened, we need to look at global trends as a point of comparison. And when we do, a clear picture emerges: What happened on Tuesday is part of a worldwide wave of anti-incumbent sentiment.

/snip

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The Harris campaign got caught in a global ant- incumbent election wave (Original Post) Blaukraut Nov 7 OP
Thanks for re-posting this n/t Emrys Nov 7 #1
Thanks for the suggestion :) n/t Blaukraut Nov 7 #2
This doesn't make sense; Chump had a terrible record as President FakeNoose Nov 7 #3
Look at this graph Blaukraut Nov 7 #4

FakeNoose

(35,657 posts)
3. This doesn't make sense; Chump had a terrible record as President
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 11:29 AM
Nov 7

... and yet he won against a candidate whose record was pretty awesome. At least Kamala can say she's not a multiple felon, nor is she a rapist or a pedophile. That's how low the bar is now for Repukes to be elected President.

The evangelicals teamed up with the billionaires and tech-bros. Chump ratcheted up the fear and anxiety to a fever pitch every chance he got, and the news media gave him a free ride.

Blaukraut

(5,908 posts)
4. Look at this graph
Thu Nov 7, 2024, 12:06 PM
Nov 7

2024 global elections were historic in that every governing party in developed countries lost vote share.


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