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reACTIONary

(6,007 posts)
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:10 AM Oct 31

Why the Right Thinks Trump Is Running Away With the Race

Skewed polls and anonymous betting markets are building up Republicans’ expectations. Donald Trump could use that to challenge the result.

NYT - No Paywall

The torrent of polls began arriving just a few weeks ago, one after the other, most showing a victory for Donald J. Trump.

They stood out amid the hundreds of others indicating a dead heat in the presidential election. But they had something in common: They were commissioned by right-leaning groups with a vested interest in promoting Republican strength.

.... some argue that the real purpose of partisan polls, along with other expectation-setting metrics such as political betting markets, is directed at a different goal entirely: building a narrative of unstoppable momentum for Mr. Trump.

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Walleye

(35,655 posts)
1. I refuse to be demoralized by this crap. I will walk to the polling place on election day.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:16 AM
Oct 31

And proudly cast my vote to elect a woman as president of the United States. This will be the fifth time I have voted for a woman counting primaries, for Hillary and one for Shirley Chisholm in 1972. Let’s just hope the fifth time is the charm.

TwilightZone

(28,833 posts)
3. No reason to be demoralized.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:27 AM
Oct 31

It's pretty obvious that it's false bravado built on a bed of lies. I get the feeling their internals are bad news for Trump, at least where trends are concerned.

The more they claim it's going to be a landslide, the more confident I am that Harris is going to win, and that's not a position I take lightly. I think the race is indeed close, but the Trump campaign appears to be in panic mode.

Ocelot II

(120,813 posts)
2. Of course; that was obvious from the beginning.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:16 AM
Oct 31

He always intended to claim the election was stolen (again), and what would be a better way to support that claim than to have a bunch of rigged polls showing he would win?

TwilightZone

(28,833 posts)
5. Agreed. He's never stopped whining about 2020, and he started on 2024 very early.
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:30 AM
Oct 31

Well before the primaries, even, and he's been continually ramping it up all through the campaign.

stopdiggin

(12,817 posts)
6. this is probably the primary reason
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:38 AM
Oct 31

Building a false narrative - and expectation - that can be employed to their ends after ....

Moostache

(10,161 posts)
4. If you want to know how this is going to go down...
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:29 AM
Oct 31
1) 1 AM EST November 6th
Several states - including GA, MI, WI, PA and AZ will still be "too close to call"
Trump will once again declare victory.

2) 7 AM EST November 6th
Counting will resume and results will be expected by day's end.
WI, MI and AZ will be in Harris/Walz column and victory will be nearing certainty.
Only PA will remain on the board and it will have Harris in a 25,000 - 50,000 vote lead and running out of red county votes to count...

3) 9 PM EST November 6th
PA is called for Harris and she is over the top.
Trump will continue throwing his hissy fit on social media claiming (w/o proof as always) fraud
Trump will repeat ad nauseum the canard that PA "caught them cheating" with the voter registration story
Trump will once again refuse to concede.

At THIS POINT Harris MUST give a victory speech! Do not couch it in any way, shape or form that the result is even remotely in doubt,
Get your flowers and have the party start in earnest in the streets!!!!

Post-script) December 15th
The final of 125 Trump lawsuits will be dismissed and he will sit at 0-188 over two elections in fraudulent lawsuits to over turn the election.... Having lost the House AND the Senate as a real Blue Tsunami materialized on election night, powered by women voters demanding their HUMAN RIGHTS and AUTONOMY, Trump absconds to Russia as a defector seeking to avoid prison and trials.

NCDem47

(2,587 posts)
7. I have seriously contemplated turning off news and Internet the evening of Nov. 5
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 10:55 AM
Oct 31

I’m with you. Any real outcome on the presidential race won’t be know until the next day at minimum Why watch pundits ad nauseam the night of the election? Maybe to watch house, senate, state and local returns.

red dog 1

(29,287 posts)
11. I agree with you, except I think VonShitzInPantz might win Arizona, which won't help him much,
Fri Nov 1, 2024, 01:45 PM
Nov 1

because, (hopefully) Harris will win the three big rust belt states, Michigan, Wisconsin & Pennsylvania.

Demsrule86

(71,021 posts)
8. And if SCOTUS interferes and tries to make Trump president when he lost, Biden
Thu Oct 31, 2024, 06:34 PM
Oct 31

needs to declare a state of emergency. Arrest the Scotus members for insurrection and try them in a court of law.

GoodRaisin

(9,586 posts)
9. If it comes to SCOTUS getting involved over a fake elector scheme
Fri Nov 1, 2024, 12:44 AM
Nov 1

or some other contrived Republican scheme to steal the election then all 3 Trump appointees need to recuse.

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