The greatest presidential predictor has made his FINAL pick for Trump vs. Harris: Who will win?

[Wicked Blue]

Source: NJ.com

By Kevin Manahan | NJ Advance Media for NJ.com

The polls are tight — and many are considered fake. The betting markets reportedly are rigged. So, who is a voter to believe when searching for a prediction on who will be elected president on Nov. 5: Vice President Kamala Harris or former president Donald Trump?

Well, so-called presidential election Nostradamus who has nailed every presidential election except one since 1984, is sticking with the pick he made months ago, when the polls were against her.

Harris will beat Trump on Tuesday, said Allan Lichtman — who predicted Trump would win in 2016, when most national polls showed Hillary Clinton far ahead and that Trump would lose against Joe Biden in 2020, told USA Today.

“Nothing has changed to change my prediction that I made on Sept. 5, in defiance of the polls,” Lichtman said in a YouTube video.

Read more: https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/11/the-greatest-presidential-predictor-has-made-his-final-pick-for-trump-vs-harris-who-will-win.html

[Rachel M at 6 pm]

1. Interesting that the only time he was "wrong" was in 2000

Lichtman is known for correctly predicting every election from 1984 through 2020, with the exception of Bush-Gore in 2000.

From Wikipedia:

"The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 Keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. ... The system is a thirteen-point checklist that uses true-or-false statements: when five or fewer items on the checklist are false, the nominee of the incumbent party is predicted to win the election, but when six or more items on the checklist are false, the nominee of the challenging party is predicted to win."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

[Native]

5. so basically he has a perfect record.

[TexasBushwhacker]

8. Yes, because Gore actually did win n/t

[dchill]

11. Indeed he does.

[IbogaProject]

9. 2000 was outright theft

So his model couldn't predict that B$ in Florida sending to the SC. Gore actually got more votes in Fl in 2000.

[LastLiberal in PalmSprings]

2. I had thought it was going to be the rooster in "Chicken Poop Bingo."

The square where the bird poops will predict the winner. It's as accurate as most of the polls I've seen. Chicken Poop Bingo

[Polybius]

3. He made his prediction two months ago

NJ.com is making it sound like he made it today.

[Native]

6. The article mentions that he made this prediction 2 months ago, and he is now saying he still stands by that prediction

[Polybius]

7. I understand that

I just don't agree that standing by a prediction is news again. Also, he has always stood by his predictions.

[Whatthe_Firetruck]

13. Because 2 months ago...

Mid to low information voters weren't paying attention.

This close to the election, more people are looking at predictions so it's relevant again.

[Native]

19. gotcha

[onetexan]

14. I've been watching Prof. Lichman's show on youtube. Very informative, so it's no surprise we're now seeing the surge for

Harris Walz the past couple weeks. He's been unwavering in his prediction.

[Polybius]

16. Yup, he's great

I watch it too. His son has been trained well.

[EllieBC]

4. Thanks for the link!

The wiki link is pretty cool at explaining how he comes to his conclusions and predictions.

[Beartracks]

10. I hope this news doesn't convince any Harris-Walz supporters they don't need to bother actually VOTING.

I'm still smarting from going to bed confident in 2016 and waking up in an alternate timeline where the dumbest moron of a Republican got put in the White House.

=================

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

12. Thank you for posting this.

It's actually been posted before on DU, and absolutely bears repeating.

[KS Toronado]

15. Why would "The betting markets reportedly are rigged."

These betting sites are saying TSF is going to win the election but Kamala will win the popular vote.

For every dollar one bets on Kamala they'll give you approximately $2.50 if she does win. That's more
than double your money.

If they are betting on him winning the swing states using some reQublican underhandedness they
are forgetting Biden's newfound powers of immunity from the SCOTUS.

[angrychair]

17. Excellent

When we vote, we win.

[TommieMommy]

18. OMG I hope he's right 🙏 🙏🙏🙏

[LudwigPastorius]

20. As they say in the investing world, past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Get out the vote!

[SoFlaBro]

21. Betting markets don't mean a fuck thing when it comes to the goddamn election. MAGA cowards are shitting the bed.