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BumRushDaShow

(142,456 posts)
Sun Oct 20, 2024, 07:11 AM Oct 20

Harris urges voters to "chart a new way forward" at Atlanta rally amid early voting

Source: USA Today

Published 10:47 p.m. ET Oct. 19, 2024 | Updated 10:47 p.m. ET Oct. 19, 2024


Amid Georgia’s record-shattering early voter turnout, Vice President Kamala Harris returned to Atlanta to urge voters to usher in “a new and optimistic generation of leadership.”

Congresswoman Nikema Williams delivered opening remarks alongside Sen. Jon Ossoff, Georgia high school student and gun safety activist Tyler Lee, and eight-time Grammy-winning artist Usher.

“This is Georgia, and we know a little something about breaking history,” Williams, who chairs the Georgia Democratic Party, told the crowd.

Usher, who is performing at Atlanta’s State Farm Arena on Sunday, told attendees that he had taken time away from his national tour in order to stump for Harris. “It doesn’t matter where you’re from — she has a vision for our future that includes everyone,” he said.

Read more: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/10/19/harris-returns-to-georgia-for-a-rally-as-early-voting-breaks-records/75760537007/

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Harris urges voters to "chart a new way forward" at Atlanta rally amid early voting (Original Post) BumRushDaShow Oct 20 OP
My friend, who voted for trump twice, thinks Harris will take GA oldsoftie Oct 20 #1
Sorry for the below rant but... Just looking at what happened with Warnock's election for a full term in 2022 BumRushDaShow Oct 20 #2
No apology needed! Silver must be an idiot. I knew Walker was toast after his first speech oldsoftie Oct 20 #3
Since you mention the ones who won't "say" in public BumRushDaShow Oct 20 #4
 

oldsoftie

(13,538 posts)
1. My friend, who voted for trump twice, thinks Harris will take GA
Sun Oct 20, 2024, 07:35 AM
Oct 20

I'm still on the fence but hopeful.
Oh, he's NOT voting for Trump THIS time; one of FOUR that I personally know of. Anecdotal yes, but there has to be more

BumRushDaShow

(142,456 posts)
2. Sorry for the below rant but... Just looking at what happened with Warnock's election for a full term in 2022
Sun Oct 20, 2024, 08:39 AM
Oct 20

might be instructive to see where things are there. In the final run-off for that seat, Warnock beat Walker by almost 100,000 votes (~3%).

Meanwhile the-then Nate Silver-run 538 predicted a Walker win (seat flip back to R) and a U.S. Senate flip (back to (R)).

The latest
Last updated Nov. 8, 2022

  • Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 midterm forecast, which is now final and no longer updating! Republicans finish the campaign with a strong chance of taking back the House but are only slightly favored in the Senate.
  • After the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision, the national environment improved for Democrats. However, Republicans regained much of that ground in October, keeping with the usual trends of midterm elections.
  • Want to see how the odds would change if Republicans or Democrats win specific races? Check out the interactive version of our forecast.


  • https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/


    They essentially said - "fuck those dumb women, they'll get over it". And when the opposite happened, Silver was finally shown the door. Meanwhile, they are STILL saying women "will get over it".

    The media wants people to forget that 2020 and 2022 ever happened, and instead have rewound time back to 2016, BEFORE January 6, and the overturning of Roe.

    Those 2 cataclysmic events would have impacted their "statistical models", but they refuse to believe there was any impact, and apparently don't want to adjust for that, instead focusing on fictional 45 voters ONLY because he got more in 2020 than 2016 - the so-called "shy" or "hidden" 45-voter.



    But THAT IDIOCY IGNORES THAT BIDEN ALSO GOT MORE VOTES THAN WHAT CLINTON HAD IN 2016.


    2016
    45 = 62,984,828
    Clinton = 65,853,514
    (from here (PDF))

    2020
    45 = 74,223,975 = +11,239,147
    Biden = 81,283,501 = +15,429,987
    (from here (PDF))

    ^^^WHY IS THIS IGNORED??????^^^



    They'll then say "well the popular vote is irrelevant".

    Well if THAT is the case, why in the hell do they keep talking about "shy 45 voters" and continuing to over-sample them in polls, while ignoring that MORE "shy" Democrats (and/or indies and/or GOP) voted for Biden than those "shy" 45 voters voted for 45????????????????



    (again sorry... )
     

    oldsoftie

    (13,538 posts)
    3. No apology needed! Silver must be an idiot. I knew Walker was toast after his first speech
    Sun Oct 20, 2024, 04:02 PM
    Oct 20

    And being someone who LIVES in GA; I knew his star power & I expected him to win that seat before he ever announced. But I also never thought he'd be such a terrible candidate! As soon as he began campaigning I changed my mind. Still cant believe he won the primary.
    I've been talking for awhile (maybe you've seen a post) about the difference between '16 & '24. In '16 there were people who were embarrassed to openly say they backed Trump. Now, there are people, like the ones I mention, who have turned on him but will NEVER say it on Facebook or anywhere else. For many reasons. I also think the number of GOP women who are pissed about RvW could very well ticket split; which is what cost Trump GA & WI in '20. And men are terrified of being called "Betas" because as you know all the "tough guys" are voting trump!.
    But in the end, NOBODY KNOWS WHO YOU VOTE FOR when you stand in the booth!

    BumRushDaShow

    (142,456 posts)
    4. Since you mention the ones who won't "say" in public
    Sun Oct 20, 2024, 04:29 PM
    Oct 20

    I bet many of them were the ones who voted for Haley. She was literally picking up on average about 12% - 17% of the vote in state after state after (after she dropped out).

    The media fixated on the protest "uncommitted" vote against Biden while they soft-pedaled or even ignored those Haley voters, who FAR outnumbered the "uncommitted".

    When you have an election that is supposedly "working around the margins", even if 1/2 of those Haley voters went on and voted for 45, the others are going to be votes "against 45" - whether they are non-votes, write-in votes, votes for the Libertarians, or even votes for Harris/Walz.

    This whole election cycle has been a shit-show from day one.

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