A series of polls from highly-rated AtlasIntel showed Trump ahead in 5 of the 7 key swing states

[kansasobama]

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by Omaha Steve (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: AtlasIntel

Sunday, September 29. A slightly better day for Trump than Harris because of.a series of polls from highly-rated AtlasIntel, which showed Trump ahead in 5 of the 7 key swing states — though in contrast to some recent data, the polls had Harris doing better in the Sun Belt than the Rust Belt. With a lot of recent state polling, though, the impact on the forecast is relatively minor.

In other news, Silver Bulletin is now classifying Rasmussen Reports as an intrinsically partisan (GOP) pollster because of a credible report of explicit coordination with the Trump campaign, including leaked emails encouraging the Trump campaign to pay for its polls via third-party sponsors. This is way out of line for any pollster that could plausibly be called non-partisan. However, this doesn’t have much impact on the model because Rasmussen already had a strong GOP-leaning house effect that the model was accounting for.

Read more: https://atlasintel.org/poll/usa-swing-states-2024-09-28

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I don't understand AtlasIntel. It is supposed to be a highly rated poll and everything defies logic. It was the most accurate pollster in 2020. If AtlasIntel is correct, our nation is screwed.

I highly doubt this to be accurate. Maybe, in 2024, AtlasIntel will be least accurate.

By the way, I am just reporting the polls. Don't shoot the messenger.

[yardwork]

1. You've been told before that this poll is not "highly rated."

You were shown evidence, and yet here you are back again pushing this.

There's a word for that.

[arlyellowdog]

2. It's a totally online poll that's taken on Elon Musk's X

Oh and from South America. I think it’s “highly rated” because it predicted some European election. Not gonna worry about that.

[Lovie777]

3. Ever heard of it....

[Nikossitti]

4. Morning Consult

Has her ahead in all swings except tied in Georgia. Atlas-shmatlas.

[Abnredleg]

9. Fox News has Harris up by 3 in GA

and NYT/Siena has her up by 4 in PA

[brush]

5. Take this OP down. You've been told that outfit is no good. The OP contradicts itself over and over.

[TwilightZone]

6. AtlasIntel is the only one calling their poll highly-rated.

I'm not sure why you're insisting otherwise.

"I highly doubt this to be accurate."

Then, don't post it. Problem solved. If you think it's junk, why would you post it here?

[ZonkerHarris]

7. never heard of them

[hlthe2b]

8. I don't think they are transparent at all. I can't find anywhere on their website where their methods are

discussed in detail--they merely state they use "scientific method..." Oh, brother.

Granted I have not downloaded their entire database, not wanting to risk malware. But, it isn't even clear if this is Registered or Likely Voters...

[LearnedHand]

10. Media Bias Factcheck's info on AtlasIntel polling, plus a different source with a different view

I’ve never heard of them and couldn’t find any useful “About Us” info on their site, so I looked them up on Media Bias Factcheck.

https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/atlasintel-polling-bias-and-credibility/

Also, Michael Podhorzer had a fascinating article about the difference between election polling and election modeling. It’s very dense but extremely useful to learn how to apply critical thinking hygiene when reading about this election.

https://open.substack.com/pub/michaelpodhorzer/p/kamala-harris-will-win-the-popular

[jmbar2]

11. It's trash. Please delete

[Omaha Steve]

12. AFTER a review by forum hosts LOCKING

Polls are analysis. This can be posted in GD.

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