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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsIs the Strait of Schroedinger open or closed now?
Is sailing into it the only way to find out?
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Is the Strait of Schroedinger open or closed now? (Original Post)
Ocelot II
5 hrs ago
OP
mahatmakanejeeves
(69,999 posts)1. Yes and no. NT
GreatGazoo
(4,643 posts)2. Strait has been open to vessels flagged as non-US/Israel owned
$2-million Tollbooth has been in place for weeks. US media is brain dead.
Also:
The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is nothing if not confusing right now. So, CitriniResearch sent our incredibly capable field analyst dubbed Analyst #3 in order to avoid emotional attachment on assignment to the Strait of Hormuz. Armed with a fluency in four languages including Arabic, a Pelican case full of equipment, a pack of Cuban cigars, $15,000 in cash and a roll of Zyn, #3 set out to fulfill the itinerary wed planned in our Manhattan offices the week prior.
We figured wed leave with an impression that was basically The strait was closed or open. We also were quite aware that the trip might be a flop and we would learn nothing at all. However, we came away with a much more nuanced understanding of the current environment and the transition to a multipolar world.
...
It was clear that nobody literally nobody, not the analysts, not the correspondents, not the retired generals doing hits on cable news and least of all us actually had any idea what was going on. Everyone was working from the same stale satellite imagery and the same unnamed Pentagon sources and the same AIS shipping data, which, as I would later discover, was missing roughly half of what was actually transiting the strait on any given day.
https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/strait-of-hormuz-a-citrini-field
We figured wed leave with an impression that was basically The strait was closed or open. We also were quite aware that the trip might be a flop and we would learn nothing at all. However, we came away with a much more nuanced understanding of the current environment and the transition to a multipolar world.
...
It was clear that nobody literally nobody, not the analysts, not the correspondents, not the retired generals doing hits on cable news and least of all us actually had any idea what was going on. Everyone was working from the same stale satellite imagery and the same unnamed Pentagon sources and the same AIS shipping data, which, as I would later discover, was missing roughly half of what was actually transiting the strait on any given day.
https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/strait-of-hormuz-a-citrini-field
Wednesdays
(22,688 posts)3. $2 million. Huh.
Wonder what the tokens for that toll booth look like.
underpants
(196,645 posts)6. Right now

MustLoveBeagles
(16,562 posts)14. Thanks for posting this 👍
Amaryllis
(11,320 posts)18. Yep. Good one.
Bluetus
(2,887 posts)11. Likeness of the Ayatollah on one side
Flip it over and it disappears.
GreatGazoo
(4,643 posts)13. They accept Yuan and crypto
$1 per barrel IF the country importing makes the cut:
Ship operators have to contact an intermediary company linked to the IRGC, and provide information about their vessels ownership, flag, the cargo manifest, destination, crew list, and data from its automated identification system, or AIS a transponder that ships use to record and broadcast their position.
The intermediary passes the file onto the IRGC Navys Hormozgan Provincial Command for background checks on the ship to make sure that it has no links to Israel or the US, or other states that Iran considers to be enemies.
If a vessel makes the cut then discussions over the toll begin. The people said that the Iranians have a ranking system of one to five for nations, with ships from countries that are seen as friendly more likely to get better terms. For oil tankers, the starting price in the negotiations is typically around $1 per barrel of oil, paid in yuan, or stablecoins cryptocurrencies pegged to the value of hard currency.
The intermediary passes the file onto the IRGC Navys Hormozgan Provincial Command for background checks on the ship to make sure that it has no links to Israel or the US, or other states that Iran considers to be enemies.
If a vessel makes the cut then discussions over the toll begin. The people said that the Iranians have a ranking system of one to five for nations, with ships from countries that are seen as friendly more likely to get better terms. For oil tankers, the starting price in the negotiations is typically around $1 per barrel of oil, paid in yuan, or stablecoins cryptocurrencies pegged to the value of hard currency.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-01/strait-of-hormuz-ships-paying-iran-yuan-and-crypto-tolls-for-safe-passage
Wonder Why
(7,080 posts)15. I don't think they have trump's face on them.
OC375
(1,001 posts)4. My cat says she has no interest in participating in this!

usonian
(25,556 posts)5. Exact change only.

Life imitates Blazing Saddles.
underpants
(196,645 posts)7. You beat me to it. 😂😂❤️

usonian
(25,556 posts)8. Great minds think alike.
We'll make that list one of these days.
I started a thread on it.
RetiredParatrooper
(178 posts)21. No Trumpcoins

mr715
(3,595 posts)9. Depends on how we measure the Panama Canal.
I believe that if the US owns the Panama Canal, the laws of quantum mechanics suggest that the Strait of Hormuz would be closed.
WSHazel
(769 posts)12. Bravo
That is the funniest post I have ever seen on this site.
annielion
(108 posts)16. Excellent!
peppertree
(23,372 posts)19. Sounds like a real CATatostrophe
Mblaze
(1,064 posts)20. Great point. Very apt analogy.