CA-GOV: Crowded California governor's race creates opening for Republicans

[RandySF]

PERSONAL NOTE: I've been worried about this, myself,


The crowded field of Democratic candidates running for governor in California could give Republicans a rare opening in the deep blue stronghold.

More than a half-dozen Democrats seen as serious contenders are competing in the Golden State’s June 2 primary, where all candidates will appear on the same ballot and the top two vote-getters will advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

With no clear party front-runner, experts warn there’s a real chance the Democrats splinter voter support, carving a path for two Republicans to move forward as a new model shows​ the possibility of a red-on-red race in the solidly blue state.

“The risk is that we have a situation where no Democrat makes the runoff. And if that happened, it would dramatically impact the general election,” said Paul Mitchell, a California Democratic data expert who developed the model.


https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5738343-california-democrats-primary-risk/

[PeaceWave]

1. An estimated 12.5% chance of a Republican getting elected. After which, there would be a recall.