Trump victory not a mandate for radical change, top election forecaster says

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

Despite Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the presidential election, a political scientist who developed a model that correctly predicted his sweep of battleground states warns that voters have not necessarily given the president-elect a mandate to make radical changes.

In a paper released with little fanfare three weeks before the vote, Cornell University professor of government Peter Enns and his co-authors accurately forecast that Trump would win all seven swing states, based on a model they built that uses state-level presidential approval ratings and indicators of economic health.

In an interview with the Guardian, Enns said his model’s conclusions suggest voters chose Trump not because they want to see his divisive policies implemented, but rather because they were frustrated with the state of the economy during Joe Biden’s presidency, an obstacle Kamala Harris was not popular enough to overcome.

“If this election can be explained by what voters thought of Biden and Harris and economic conditions, it really goes against the notion of a mandate for major change from Trump,” said Enns.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/28/trump-victory-election-forecast

[Alaninahammock]

1. Forecaster

Well thank God.... Because we all know these "forecasters" haven't got anything wrong recently.

[BlueTsunami2018]

2. It doesn't matter, they claim a major mandate if they win by one vote.

I remember when President Obama won in the closest thing we’ve seen to a landslide since Poppy Bush, they said he didn’t have a mandate. We won by ten million votes, seven percent and crushed in the EC and we went on to play the “reaching out” game and did not use the power clearly given to us by the People.

These assholes will act like they won every state and were given super majorities and will wield power with an iron fist.

It doesn’t matter that they actually didn’t win a clear mandate, they’re going to rule as if they have.

And that’s the difference between playing to win and barely being in the game.

[CharleyDog]

5. Obama, Obama. How I love him, but he wasn't so good at some things

Yes, he reached out, he conceded on many things, backed down with the billionaires who crashed everything, tried to listen and compromise. What did he get?

It was (is) like feeding a monster and watching it grow to eat you alive with no remorse.

[jimfields33]

6. They only won 32 states. Definitely not a mandate

You need a 40 state win to even begin to think about a mandate.

[La Coliniere]

7. Democrats have to start playing hardball when we return to power.

I wouldn’t exactly say stop reaching out, but give them an opportunity to to come on board with some new Democratic policy for instance, but no comprises anymore in what their desires are so that our Bills get watered down. If they say “no way” we say “take the highway”.

[CharleyDog]

3. Decisive victory? No. No mandate. But he wanna bee dick tater

From Digby

Trump won the popular vote by the smallest amount since 2000. His margin of victory was one of the smallest in the last 100 years. His margin was minus 1.5%
but who's counting?

[JI7]

4. Doesn't matter. Those who voted for him voted for all the shit he will do

which was made very clear to them.