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DemocratSinceBirth

(100,549 posts)
5. The polls indicated a close race. The forecasters forecasted a close race
Fri Nov 15, 2024, 10:00 AM
Nov 2024

Joe Biden's 39% approval rating, undeserved in my opinion, sank us.

Shermann

(8,811 posts)
13. But but EGGS!!!!111
Fri Nov 15, 2024, 10:33 AM
Nov 2024

I think in many ways people normally feel like their homes are disconnected from the White House and can be ambivalent about politics. Inflation can be weaponized so that it strikes home, and negative perceptions are fomented and focused.

Response to Karadeniz (Reply #3)

DesertRain

(28 posts)
8. A week ago they were crowing about his 5 million popular vote
Fri Nov 15, 2024, 10:04 AM
Nov 2024

That's now down to under 3 million.

Of course, for a group that previously hadn't won the popular vote in 7 of the last 8 elections,
and even then the only time was 20 years ago, this feels like a mandate to them.

Either way, they will act like it's massive.

Wiz Imp

(3,642 posts)
12. The media wouldn't. According to the media, the Dems didn't even have a mandate in 2008 despite the biggest landslide
Fri Nov 15, 2024, 10:22 AM
Nov 2024

victory in the last 40 years.

Wiz Imp

(3,642 posts)
11. Only 6 elections in US history have had a popular vote margin less than 1.4%
Fri Nov 15, 2024, 10:20 AM
Nov 2024

And half of those were in the consecutive elections in 1880, 1884 & 1888.

1960, 1968 & 2000 are the only elections in the past 130+ years with a smaller margin. And in 1968 the electoral vote margin was bigger despite the close popular vote.

When you combine popular & electoral vote margins, the only less impressive victories in the past 60 years were Bush in 2000 & Trump in 2016.

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