Fetterman leading Oz by 5 points in Pennsylvania Senate race: survey This was taken after the debate

[Demsrule86]

The results are similar to other polling showing leads the Democratic candidate has held over Oz for much of the campaign, including a 6-point advantage in a survey last week.

But the latest survey comes after Fetterman struggled on the stage during a debate against Oz last week.

The Democrat is still recovering from a stroke he had in May and has difficulty with auditory processing, which led to verbal missteps and awkward answers during the debate.

Still, about 50 percent of likely voters in Pennsylvania view Fetterman favorably, according to the New York Times-Siena college poll.

By comparison, about 49 percent of likely voters view Oz favorably.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3712138-fetterman-leading-oz-by-5-points-in-pennsylvania-senate-race-survey/

[blue neen]

1. Good news, but you might want to fix your link.

[Demsrule86]

2. Thanks sorry!

[Demsrule86]

10. fixed the link...again thanks!

[Takket]

3. Gee it's almost as if issues mean more to voters than how easily one can speak

[Demsrule86]

7. True that.

[badhair77]

4. I'm optimistic since he raised

over $2 million directly after the debate. It’s not his format on a good day much less with time constraints for a recovering stroke victim. I’d be terrible if someone tied me to 60 seconds. I believe a lot of others recognized that.

[Indykatie]

6. I Read That Fetterman is an Introvert So Debating Would Probably Be a Challenge

[Demsrule86]

8. I heard he is not a great debater and I thought he was very courageous to debate at all.

[Polybius]

13. He was pretty good in the primaries

I thought he kicked Lamb's ass. You probably don't remember, but brooklynite and myself had some fierce rivalry during that primary. He backed Lamb, and I didn't.

[Demsrule86]

21. I didn't think he kicked Lamb's ass...both of the other Democratic candidates were better debaters.

It is hard to say since both wanted to have the debate about when Fetterman went out with the gun after hearing gunshots...of course the guy was later locked up for kidnapping and assault but who cares now.

https://www.wgal.com/article/democrats-to-meet-for-debate-in-us-senate-race/39789077#

[Polybius]

22. It was probably me being partisan against Lamb

I was furious at him for bringing that up, and was so glad that he lost.

[Demsrule86]

23. Very funny...at the time you didn't feel that way...you do understand either Fetterman wins or

we get Oz right? And I tell you (many years of GOTV) folks don't vote if they believe we will lose...I expect most DUer's will vote but we get many lurkers here or even folks who rec things but never post. It seems to me that the constant negativity...looking for the gloom in a positive OP for example is a not a great thing to do if you want Democrats to win. I will also say that I monitor the righty sites like Freeper land. And they post negative things from our site. Just food for thought.

[Polybius]

27. It's not that I don't want Fetterman to win

I do want him to win, and of course I don't want Oz anywhere near the Senate. I only acknowledge that the stroke hurt him with campaigning. Had Fetterman not have had the stroke, I think he'd be up by 10.

[Demsrule86]

35. Maybe, but I kind of expected it to tighten as the GOP who don't like Oz decided they liked him

better than Fetterman who was as always painted by the GOP as a villain and a socialist who is soft on crime.

[femmedem]

5. Fantastic news. n/t

[Demsrule86]

9. Yes it is...and for those who breathlessly reported right wing polls....please stop!

[Laura PourMeADrink]

11. Hope it holds! And an A+ rating!! But to be fair, there were

Three polls since this one. Not as glowing for sure. Not highly rated by 538 tho.

[Demsrule86]

17. Wick, Co/Effficient and Insider Advantage are not good...GOP polls...

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2022/10/28/2131911/-It-s-not-your-imagination-RW-pollsters-are-flooding-the-narrative?utm_campaign=recent

[Laura PourMeADrink]

19. Right. So throw em out and carry on :)

[Demsrule86]

24. There is no point in considering them when decent polls have had Fetterman ahead the entire

election season...and look how things are reported...why being six points ahead according to Cook means a Toss-up but Vance being ahead by one point means he is winning...look at the polls carefully and you will see this...none consider the Roe vote either.

[Polybius]

12. Good news, but how do 49 percent of likely voters view Oz favorably?

I would have thought he'd be at high 30's tops.

[Demsrule86]

14. I actually am not sure that is correct. However, the point is Fetterman is ahead...he has always

been ahead except in rightie polls like RCP, Insider Advantage, and Trafalgar who literally take money from the GOP.

[Polybius]

16. I don't think RCP does their own polls

They just post other companies polls as far as I know. Today was a pretty good day for polls, except Ohio (not sure if Cygnal Tracking is reliable though).

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

[Demsrule86]

18. RCP take money from GOP types...and can't be trusted. Sure they have different polls but their

analysis is suspect...

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/17/us/politics/real-clear-politics.html

[Polybius]

20. Ahh, paywall

Interesting though. How do you feel about 538? I have heard rumors that Nate Silver is a Republican, but I haven't found anything concrete.

[Demsrule86]

25. 538 is using parameters that really will not work in this election...but he publishes all polls

so I read him every day. I don't necessarily agree with his analysis though. I think most pollsters are missing the Roe vote. I also believe turnout means a great deal...consider the turnout for NY 19 and Kansas...and there were other races that we might not have won but were much closer than expected because of turnout.

[Just A Box Of Rain]

15. I've remained hopeful that people who saw the debate would

see Fetterman was a person who has been forthright about his challenges in overcoming the stroke and a person of courage. Unlike Oz.

Fingers-crossed.

[Demsrule86]

34. I agree... I found it to be very courageous that he debated...the format was difficult and he had to

read the question and answer within a minute...and from what I heard the CC malfunctioned.

[Just A Box Of Rain]

37. I was not aware of a closed caption malfunction.

I said it before, but who among us has not had struggles, or seen close family members, loved ones, or friends who've had to fight back against strokes, cancer, or other grave medical problems.

To me, people who survive such things come at even stronger and at the same time become even more empathetic and understanding of other people's struggles.

I'm going to believe that touches people. My gut says Fetterman wins PA.

[Amishman]

26. To be clear, this straddled the debate as it was done 24th-26th and the debate was the 25th

So two pre-debate days, one post.

Still encouraging as this is a well established pollster. We haven't had enough good polls this cycle.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

28. Yes. That should be corrected since per NYT/Siena

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/31/us/politics/democrats-republicans-senate-election-polls.html

The Pennsylvania poll was largely conducted before the debate, with only one night of interviews made afterward. In calls made on Wednesday, the night after the matchup, a plurality of voters said Mr. Fetterman was not healthy enough to do the job — though Mr. Fetterman still maintained a slight lead over Dr. Oz among all Wednesday respondents.

[Demsrule86]

29. In the same poll, the question was asked was he healthy enough after the debate...and most

likely voters found he was and there are crossover GOP votes and again...Roe Roe Roe your vote.

[onetexan]

30. As MoJoe said, Fetterman IS Pennsylvania

and Pennsylvanians can see thru Dr. Oz' fraud and know he's not one of them. . He is also a quack dr who made his money off quack medical claims. Most importantly, he does not live in PA. He is running to line his dirty pockets.

[Demsrule86]

31. He didn't even really buy a house...he lied about that too..and he said a woman, her doctor

and local politicians should decide if a woman can have an abortion. That alone will destroy him.

[peggysue2]

41. Exactly right!

Fetterman IS Pennsylvania. Oz clearly is NOT.

As I've said from the start, I'm living in a working-class neighborhood in Delco. John Fetterman looks and sounds like all my neighbors. Though signage may be a mere anecdotal factor, the signs in my neck of the woods is 3-1 for the Democrats, all the Democrats on the ballot. To me that shows enthusiasm at the very least.

We're going to win here. And the early voting is through the roof for Dems across the State of Pennsylvania. By a factor of 50+percentage points for Dem registrants. Yes, we still have E-Day before the results will be sussed out but these are banked votes and they ain't peanuts!

[Demsrule86]

42. Thanks Peggy-Sue...I used to live in the Delaware Water Gap...Matamoras but I am now

in Ohio. Since I know the area pretty well, I do phone bank GOTV...but I am not in PA and can't see with my own eyes what is going on. I really appreciate your insight.

[peggysue2]

43. No problem, Demsrule

As I said, I'm feeling good and the stats appear to be in our favor.

We'll all know soon.

[lindysalsagal]

32. Oz's ads against Fetterman are firehosing hate.

So it's frankly astounding that it's close, at all.

[Demsrule86]

33. Yup and Fetterman has been ahead the entire time...not counting the Roe vote.

[Emile]

36. He is going to be a great senator and make Pennsylvania proud!

[Demsrule86]

38. He will be a great Senator! He was a force of nature as head of the PA legislature...they got so

mad at him they would kick him out...

[Mr.Bill]

39. Well, I must say

I understood everything he said.

People I don't understand: Trump, Herschel Walker, Lauren Boebert, Matt Gaetz, Marjorie Taylor Green...you get the picture.

[Demsrule86]

40. I do get Mr. Bill and I agree...they are incomprehensible and mean!!